{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3eb1337-c9dc-4f74-b76f-5ab12091eed2", "symbol": "002916", "name": "Shennan Circuits Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.741, "architecture_energy": 25.872, "architecture_maturity": 77.123, "architecture_confidence": 93.672, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.07, "rotation_up": 23.18, "upward_expansion": 56.36, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 46.31, "downward_expansion": 24.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 349.172001, 375.537819, 369.772623, 345.00819 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 382.630005, "trend_reference": 311.959847, "distance_from_trend": 0.226536, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 137.976717, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.773149, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 43.781675, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.647901, "excess_performance": 0.640501, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.226536, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.241636, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.773149, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101392, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.437817, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046176, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.647901, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.135115, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59000400, "relative_activity": 1.175919, "balance": 1.135115, "dry_up": 1.333612, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16165, "annualized_volatility": 0.779771, "from_high_reference": -0.177865, "from_low_reference": 1.926929 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 311.959847, "fair_value_reference": 137.976717, "structural_low": 209.72853, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.098366, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.03198, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.281154, "worst_return": -0.17136, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.121349, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.125239, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.348913, "worst_return": -0.035234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.15047, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.248583, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.162949, "worst_return": -0.015236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.455392, "energy": 41.649147, "activity_lines": [ 403.882668, 404.802787, 368.053406, 337.736639 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 332.809998, "volume": 61095983, "typical_volume": 49082929.3, "trend": 303.936922, "fair_value": 134.29866, "relative_strength": 33.437943, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.386879, "energy": 22.090225, "activity_lines": [ 374.700667, 393.259465, 368.150791, 339.860369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 308.0, "volume": 63889512, "typical_volume": 50053732.7, "trend": 306.901855, "fair_value": 135.890739, "relative_strength": 23.832447, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.258549, "energy": 21.439424, "activity_lines": [ 345.314667, 376.996, 365.549035, 340.122503 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 382.630005, "volume": 59000400, "typical_volume": 50173874.2, "trend": 311.959847, "fair_value": 137.976717, "relative_strength": 43.781675, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.741085, "energy": 25.87167, "activity_lines": [ 349.172001, 375.537819, 369.772623, 345.00819 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }