{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3f27e7e-ac8b-4e87-a7bb-1ed9f64b9122", "symbol": "603501", "name": "OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group, Inc.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.737, "architecture_energy": 28.433, "architecture_maturity": 23.221, "architecture_confidence": 89.617, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.49, "rotation_up": 27.37, "upward_expansion": 9.29, "deceleration": 46.27, "rotation_down": 46.21, "downward_expansion": 73.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.716667, 94.816365, 95.423859, 97.962347 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 89.760002, "trend_reference": 103.768869, "distance_from_trend": -0.135001, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 109.081829, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.177131, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.657684, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.259406, "excess_performance": -0.216202, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.135001, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086416, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.177131, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084583, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216577, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048412, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.259406, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.027778, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109828823, "relative_activity": 0.979324, "balance": 2.027778, "dry_up": 1.366013, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11267, "annualized_volatility": 0.440455, "from_high_reference": -0.428122, "from_low_reference": 0.051793 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.768869, "fair_value_reference": 109.081829, "structural_low": 85.339996, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.025242, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.023227, "regime_survival": 0.3125, "best_return": 0.264753, "worst_return": -0.117755, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.041425, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.050454, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.418681, "worst_return": -0.27367, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.026871, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.050425, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.264605, "worst_return": 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"fair_value": 109.253089, "relative_strength": -13.918764, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.86944, "energy": 17.5841, "activity_lines": [ 100.128668, 97.130881, 96.906917, 100.080093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.699997, "volume": 111201830, "typical_volume": 109706950.8, "trend": 104.973536, "fair_value": 109.145302, "relative_strength": -20.960758, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.908938, "energy": 20.154171, "activity_lines": [ 96.812, 95.736834, 96.060078, 98.943865 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 89.760002, "volume": 109828823, "typical_volume": 112147559.05, "trend": 103.768869, "fair_value": 109.081829, "relative_strength": -21.657684, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.736612, "energy": 28.432705, "activity_lines": [ 93.716667, 94.816365, 95.423859, 97.962347 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }