{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3f52634-aca4-4292-b4b5-6bc486384e57", "symbol": "JD", "name": "JD.com, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 49.684, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.495, "architecture_energy": 82.41, "architecture_maturity": 14.632, "architecture_confidence": 61.562, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.42, "rotation_up": 79.45, "upward_expansion": 90.87, "deceleration": 44.89, "rotation_down": 8.1, "downward_expansion": 17.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.556666, 26.159091, 25.784955, 25.314731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.549999, "trend_reference": 24.656663, "distance_from_trend": 0.157902, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.392455, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.081749, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.127227, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.261555, "excess_performance": 0.087308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.157902, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014576, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.081749, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1255, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077317, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.261555, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.427191, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 445, "relative_activity": 0.687259, "balance": 4.427191, "dry_up": 1.921236, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053213, "annualized_volatility": 0.320373, "from_high_reference": -0.060798, "from_low_reference": 0.394506 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.656663, "fair_value_reference": 26.392455, "structural_low": 20.473203, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.088333, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.07544, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.124451, "worst_return": -0.208333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.200186, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.188312, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.099561, "worst_return": -0.223369, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.127379, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.010444, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.198333, "worst_return": -0.133734, "sufficient": false }, { 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26.530553, "relative_strength": -25.447414, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.352408, "energy": 32.095485, "activity_lines": [ 23.56, 24.494545, 24.803297, 24.481727 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 24.75, "volume": 617, "typical_volume": 563.5, "trend": 24.182122, "fair_value": 26.492055, "relative_strength": -20.404781, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.286955, "energy": 27.07479, "activity_lines": [ 23.83, 24.428182, 24.831272, 24.519829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.950001, "volume": 407, "typical_volume": 530.45, "trend": 24.262395, "fair_value": 26.465296, "relative_strength": -14.231252, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.774616, "energy": 18.975277, "activity_lines": [ 24.53, 24.6, 24.961387, 24.633885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.65, "volume": 464, "typical_volume": 499.75, "trend": 24.367601, "fair_value": 26.424523, "relative_strength": -12.520681, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.478474, "energy": 33.660649, "activity_lines": [ 25.38, 24.892727, 25.138024, 24.787924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.5, "volume": 3660, "typical_volume": 661.0, "trend": 24.516892, "fair_value": 26.399367, "relative_strength": -5.971557, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.060776, "energy": 67.527091, "activity_lines": [ 26.673334, 25.539091, 25.470571, 25.054531 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.549999, "volume": 445, "typical_volume": 647.5, "trend": 24.656663, "fair_value": 26.392455, "relative_strength": -8.127227, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.495115, "energy": 82.409818, "activity_lines": [ 27.556666, 26.159091, 25.784955, 25.314731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }