{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d427a441-fdef-443e-8fba-9e7dc73a8e69", "symbol": "600210", "name": "Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.922, "architecture_energy": 42.589, "architecture_maturity": 96.201, "architecture_confidence": 63.748, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.74, "rotation_up": 26.82, "upward_expansion": 18.58, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 42.43, "downward_expansion": 68.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.149008, 6.141813, 6.35327, 6.563104 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.12, "trend_reference": 6.877656, "distance_from_trend": -0.110162, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.966549, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.025719, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.712248, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.205195, "excess_performance": -0.161991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110162, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057984, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.025719, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166648, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127122, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027803, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.205195, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.326224, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76755193, "relative_activity": 1.04784, "balance": 0.326224, "dry_up": 1.306558, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046447, "annualized_volatility": 0.220662, "from_high_reference": -0.265306, "from_low_reference": 0.059915 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.877656, "fair_value_reference": 5.966549, "structural_low": 5.774046, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.025197, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.011943, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.306585, "worst_return": -0.146302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.050954, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": 0.011158, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.394309, "worst_return": -0.242336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.120974, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.064487, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.369919, "worst_return": -0.116366, "sufficient": true }, { 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.605608, "energy": 75.263467, "activity_lines": [ 6.016041, 6.16162, 6.424172, 6.654501 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.34, "volume": 78691147, "typical_volume": 74866637.95, "trend": 6.918656, "fair_value": 5.957715, "relative_strength": -7.245507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.78276, "energy": 55.674583, "activity_lines": [ 6.132061, 6.168171, 6.396554, 6.614631 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.12, "volume": 76755193, "typical_volume": 73250845.7, "trend": 6.877656, "fair_value": 5.966549, "relative_strength": -12.712248, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.922481, "energy": 42.588757, "activity_lines": [ 6.149008, 6.141813, 6.35327, 6.563104 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }