{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4299afb-c5d6-40aa-9118-80fb51edc8fd", "symbol": "PAEM", "name": "Invesco MSCI Emerging Markets ESG Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.191, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.5, "architecture_energy": 24.512, "architecture_maturity": 65.87, "architecture_confidence": 91.157, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.02, "rotation_up": 25.71, "upward_expansion": 56.8, "deceleration": 88.29, "rotation_down": 33.71, "downward_expansion": 18.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.0659, 6.1373, 6.117629, 5.985215 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.18, "trend_reference": 5.825367, "distance_from_trend": 0.060877, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.550886, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.357977, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.309088, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.109615, "excess_performance": 0.05838, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058452, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.357977, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064896, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033091, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103679, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109615, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 28.854714, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6552, "relative_activity": 0.019333, "balance": 28.854714, "dry_up": 0.105736, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042875, "annualized_volatility": 0.249828, "from_high_reference": -0.046443, "from_low_reference": 0.283231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.825367, "fair_value_reference": 4.550886, "structural_low": 5.043, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"volume": 92350, "typical_volume": 347980.35, "trend": 5.751317, "fair_value": 4.509806, "relative_strength": 2.455425, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.324942, "energy": 35.268203, "activity_lines": [ 6.197567, 6.210418, 6.077102, 5.931842 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.003, "volume": 9102, "typical_volume": 343477.95, "trend": 5.77775, "fair_value": 4.522706, "relative_strength": 2.139518, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.112111, "energy": 24.591003, "activity_lines": [ 6.1123, 6.176536, 6.089405, 5.94808 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.973, "volume": 35335, "typical_volume": 344513.7, "trend": 5.79965, "fair_value": 4.535863, "relative_strength": 0.286109, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.849492, "energy": 22.362731, "activity_lines": [ 6.0464, 6.136973, 6.095443, 5.960676 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.18, "volume": 6552, "typical_volume": 338908.75, "trend": 5.825367, "fair_value": 4.550886, "relative_strength": 3.309088, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.500083, "energy": 24.511702, "activity_lines": [ 6.0659, 6.1373, 6.117629, 5.985215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }