{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d4441c68-4509-44e9-a1da-75ce5668fd75",
    "symbol": "FUSA",
    "name": "Fidelity US Quality Income UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.523,
    "architecture_energy": 75.342,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.252,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.38,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 72.76,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 63.94,
        "rotation_down": 21.22,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        14.0314,
        13.757209
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 14.688,
    "trend_reference": 13.438,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.09302,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.66234,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259439,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.090315,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.13246,
    "excess_performance": -0.038432,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09302,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038924,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.259439,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068743,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030903,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016325,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13246,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.852272,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2872,
      "relative_activity": 0.253634,
      "balance": 1.852272,
      "dry_up": 0.712065,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014528,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.092465,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004068,
      "from_low_reference": 0.239494
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.438,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.66234,
      "structural_low": 12.388,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.016904,
        "positive_rate": 0.709677,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.709677,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00655,
        "regime_survival": 0.83871,
        "best_return": 0.066926,
        "worst_return": -0.076711,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.078057,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 27251.65,
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        "fair_value": 11.22784,
        "relative_strength": -3.663734,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 27469.75,
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        "relative_strength": -2.708477,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 28292.25,
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        "relative_strength": -2.083761,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 89.687895,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 28309.2,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.127493,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -4.36366,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.423614,
        "energy": 85.387265,
        "activity_lines": [
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          13.32446
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 14.204,
        "volume": 1526,
        "typical_volume": 27364.45,
        "trend": 13.1606,
        "fair_value": 11.50341,
        "relative_strength": -5.165125,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.691356,
        "energy": 89.050379,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 8165,
        "typical_volume": 27450.45,
        "trend": 13.216267,
        "fair_value": 11.535987,
        "relative_strength": -3.87958,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.253581,
        "energy": 94.275003,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.136667,
          14.012291,
          13.685905,
          13.469875
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.33,
        "volume": 1601,
        "typical_volume": 27477.95,
        "trend": 13.271467,
        "fair_value": 11.568308,
        "relative_strength": -2.389264,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.211798,
        "energy": 93.598003,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.2256,
          14.091818,
          13.774143,
          13.541729
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.39,
        "volume": 10974,
        "typical_volume": 27498.6,
        "trend": 13.328,
        "fair_value": 11.599186,
        "relative_strength": -1.758567,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.697884,
        "energy": 92.664069,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.304933,
          14.165455,
          13.86159,
          13.613892
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.242,
        "volume": 16805,
        "typical_volume": 11811.5,
        "trend": 13.3806,
        "fair_value": 11.629333,
        "relative_strength": -3.326306,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.126965,
        "energy": 72.716393,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.307467,
          14.198436,
          13.928467,
          13.67286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.688,
        "volume": 2872,
        "typical_volume": 11323.4,
        "trend": 13.438,
        "fair_value": 11.66234,
        "relative_strength": -3.090315,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.522532,
        "energy": 75.342471,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.437467,
          14.304982,
          14.0314,
          13.757209
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}