{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d445be1f-0088-4136-a6e0-d59055856ff1",
    "symbol": "MACY34",
    "name": "Macy's, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.137,
    "architecture_energy": 41.956,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.455,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.017,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.83,
        "rotation_up": 43.03,
        "upward_expansion": 68.25,
        "deceleration": 65.47,
        "rotation_down": 26.08,
        "downward_expansion": 18.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        117.357905,
        112.487242
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 125.830002,
    "trend_reference": 108.702277,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.157565,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 88.293045,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.425141,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.309152,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.120153,
    "excess_performance": 0.177202,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157565,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012469,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.425141,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.271853,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143092,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244554,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120153,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 10.246063,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 94,
      "relative_activity": 0.31276,
      "balance": 10.246063,
      "dry_up": 0.245383,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.066005,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.454997,
      "from_high_reference": -0.079737,
      "from_low_reference": 0.947088
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 88.293045,
      "structural_low": 88.400002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.018989,
        "positive_rate": 0.45,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.45,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001273,
        "regime_survival": 0.65,
        "best_return": 0.258748,
        "worst_return": -0.169573,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.315196,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 84.014512,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 591.7,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 67.953974,
        "energy": 88.569962,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 134.039993,
        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 86.648767,
        "relative_strength": 24.274238,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 190,
        "typical_volume": 595.2,
        "trend": 108.868126,
        "fair_value": 86.950599,
        "relative_strength": 4.396794,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.180392,
        "energy": 77.428073,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 123.970001,
        "volume": 188,
        "typical_volume": 588.85,
        "trend": 108.712891,
        "fair_value": 87.294556,
        "relative_strength": 13.987115,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.60957,
        "energy": 64.177762,
        "activity_lines": [
          125.32733,
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          112.714463,
          109.62619
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 118.690002,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 571.35,
        "trend": 108.565239,
        "fair_value": 87.596005,
        "relative_strength": 8.400406,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.159641,
        "energy": 50.033972,
        "activity_lines": [
          122.519999,
          122.491807,
          113.920162,
          110.269874
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 125.849998,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 297.55,
        "trend": 108.745564,
        "fair_value": 87.936105,
        "relative_strength": 11.681136,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.950291,
        "energy": 39.222726,
        "activity_lines": [
          122.723999,
          123.602948,
          115.723009,
          111.38502
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 125.830002,
        "volume": 94,
        "typical_volume": 300.55,
        "trend": 108.702277,
        "fair_value": 88.293045,
        "relative_strength": 14.309152,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.136603,
        "energy": 41.955864,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.467334,
          124.283414,
          117.357905,
          112.487242
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}