{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4482b34-9ebb-47eb-a64c-f6e7e234b3d5", "symbol": "XBOC", "name": "Innovator U.S. Equity Accelerated 9 Buffer ETF - October", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.041, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.291, "architecture_energy": 89.368, "architecture_maturity": 47.742, "architecture_confidence": 80.885, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 68.52, "upward_expansion": 97.41, "deceleration": 40.91, "rotation_down": 27.59, "downward_expansion": 19.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.829293, 35.683749, 35.401782, 34.978942 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 36.05, "trend_reference": 34.494043, "distance_from_trend": 0.045108, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.717117, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.173613, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.0727, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.067832, "excess_performance": -0.057793, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045108, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022479, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.173613, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003187, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050727, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00348, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.067832, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.066257, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17722, "relative_activity": 1.043333, "balance": 2.066257, "dry_up": 0.526008, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00683, "annualized_volatility": 0.067843, "from_high_reference": -0.000831, "from_low_reference": 0.122004 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.494043, "fair_value_reference": 30.717117, "structural_low": 32.13, "invalidation": 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"trend": 34.20693, "fair_value": 30.462935, "relative_strength": -4.221529, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.313197, "energy": 90.585174, "activity_lines": [ 35.520667, 35.402824, 34.959759, 34.599434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.62, "volume": 6894, "typical_volume": 19698.9, "trend": 34.278263, "fair_value": 30.525564, "relative_strength": -2.865252, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.023927, "energy": 88.395932, "activity_lines": [ 35.57616, 35.460229, 35.070145, 34.6906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.6152, "volume": 6105, "typical_volume": 18350.25, "trend": 34.342937, "fair_value": 30.587888, "relative_strength": -2.193745, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.529794, "energy": 87.018652, "activity_lines": [ 35.608067, 35.505325, 35.171225, 34.776854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.8447, "volume": 5018, "typical_volume": 17586.2, "trend": 34.419393, "fair_value": 30.651989, "relative_strength": -2.476358, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.733288, "energy": 90.280576, "activity_lines": [ 35.702127, 35.58188, 35.283343, 34.873742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.05, "volume": 17722, "typical_volume": 16985.95, "trend": 34.494043, "fair_value": 30.717117, "relative_strength": -5.0727, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.290777, "energy": 89.368388, "activity_lines": [ 35.829293, 35.683749, 35.401782, 34.978942 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }