{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d457da73-521b-4486-aea3-d6a1f36d5446", "symbol": "600096", "name": "Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.513, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.176, "architecture_energy": 38.807, "architecture_maturity": 38.129, "architecture_confidence": 80.356, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.6, "rotation_up": 24.7, "upward_expansion": 5.36, "deceleration": 57.66, "rotation_down": 45.0, "downward_expansion": 76.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.236667, 29.367273, 30.276052, 31.558091 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 30.1, "trend_reference": 33.085469, "distance_from_trend": -0.090235, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.273738, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.351367, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.703472, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.183416, "excess_performance": -0.140212, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.090235, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.351367, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244657, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017035, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091358, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.183416, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.565959, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 125745258, "relative_activity": 0.706369, "balance": 0.565959, "dry_up": 0.804693, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078511, "annualized_volatility": 0.506342, "from_high_reference": -0.316411, "from_low_reference": 0.309541 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.085469, "fair_value_reference": 22.273738, "structural_low": 26.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.006803, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": 0.009005, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.173351, "worst_return": -0.096344, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.021712, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.020532, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.390686, "worst_return": -0.143689, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.064313, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.126842, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.281287, "worst_return": -0.107326, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.313245, "energy": 59.184701, "activity_lines": [ 28.797334, 29.504182, 30.95622, 32.256202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.799999, "volume": 176803993, "typical_volume": 211222024.5, "trend": 33.21666, "fair_value": 22.088225, "relative_strength": -2.284405, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.973478, "energy": 64.048419, "activity_lines": [ 28.596, 29.258, 30.596276, 31.971233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.870001, "volume": 121989295, "typical_volume": 192183073.7, "trend": 33.157044, "fair_value": 22.183607, "relative_strength": 0.568348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.596809, "energy": 55.602104, "activity_lines": [ 28.802667, 29.270909, 30.397214, 31.755319 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.1, "volume": 125745258, "typical_volume": 178016270.25, "trend": 33.085469, "fair_value": 22.273738, "relative_strength": -1.703472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.175815, "energy": 38.807482, "activity_lines": [ 29.236667, 29.367273, 30.276052, 31.558091 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }