{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d461730e-256f-4b47-8a57-f07c8ec395b6", "symbol": "MFI", "name": "mF International Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.682, "architecture_energy": 44.92, "architecture_maturity": 90.682, "architecture_confidence": 95.427, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.3, "rotation_up": 21.16, "upward_expansion": 6.44, "deceleration": 46.72, "rotation_down": 56.71, "downward_expansion": 82.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.178333, 8.454818, 9.047647, 9.727952 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 8.01, "trend_reference": 10.830673, "distance_from_trend": -0.260434, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.554992, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.409074, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -62.562959, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.483226, "excess_performance": -0.670679, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.260434, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244047, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.409074, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.62563, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010297, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.483226, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.617689, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15716, "relative_activity": 0.276177, "balance": 0.617689, "dry_up": 0.484197, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.213136, "annualized_volatility": 0.817777, "from_high_reference": -0.868105, "from_low_reference": 0.441944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.830673, "fair_value_reference": 13.554992, "structural_low": 5.555, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.097939, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.07386, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.1875, "worst_return": -0.275088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.246403, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.354953, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.041262, "worst_return": -0.451544, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.474175, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.676146, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.474175, "worst_return": -0.474175, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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13.647703, "relative_strength": -61.196006, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.690494, "energy": 46.032847, "activity_lines": [ 8.525667, 8.715182, 9.402981, 10.151716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.16, "volume": 19665, "typical_volume": 56804.8, "trend": 11.197673, "fair_value": 13.601588, "relative_strength": -61.284122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.124025, "energy": 47.735959, "activity_lines": [ 8.332, 8.586455, 9.223314, 9.933608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.01, "volume": 15716, "typical_volume": 56905.6, "trend": 10.830673, "fair_value": 13.554992, "relative_strength": -62.562959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.682159, "energy": 44.919791, "activity_lines": [ 8.178333, 8.454818, 9.047647, 9.727952 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }