{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d47c92f5-925c-44eb-b8ab-bf7abf63f114",
    "symbol": "XLI",
    "name": "SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST STATE STREET INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SP",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.57,
    "architecture_energy": 44.337,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.941,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.099,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.54,
        "rotation_up": 52.27,
        "upward_expansion": 78.88,
        "deceleration": 66.81,
        "rotation_down": 23.73,
        "downward_expansion": 5.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        175.923089
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 185.18,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.069509,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 137.069433,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.350994,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.488926,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.072264,
    "excess_performance": -0.053361,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069509,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052491,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.350994,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028229,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004889,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020942,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072264,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.392453,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 36643880,
      "relative_activity": 0.894025,
      "balance": 2.392453,
      "dry_up": 0.827256,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033687,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.138061,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015994,
      "from_low_reference": 0.266342
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 137.069433,
      "structural_low": 156.08,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
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        "positive_rate": 0.594595,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.594595,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 45119022.3,
        "trend": 171.611656,
        "fair_value": 136.066139,
        "relative_strength": 3.745848,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 179.84,
        "volume": 35985930,
        "typical_volume": 42801672.2,
        "trend": 172.354919,
        "fair_value": 136.552671,
        "relative_strength": 1.038937,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.203272,
        "energy": 39.780946,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 185.18,
        "volume": 36643880,
        "typical_volume": 40987550.3,
        "trend": 173.144881,
        "fair_value": 137.069433,
        "relative_strength": 0.488926,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.570048,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}