{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d47ec7b9-c3b7-4c73-9ffe-09e4c09d9d21", "symbol": "MXI", "name": "iShares Global Materials ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.062, "architecture_energy": 25.644, "architecture_maturity": 34.052, "architecture_confidence": 94.738, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.17, "rotation_up": 32.43, "upward_expansion": 48.15, "deceleration": 90.42, "rotation_down": 32.37, "downward_expansion": 25.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 1875.74266, 1870.148762, 1877.895765, 1877.196185 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1957.599976, "trend_reference": 1856.628149, "distance_from_trend": 0.054385, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1595.011054, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227327, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.913461, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.165592, "excess_performance": 0.220259, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054385, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03769, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227327, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011111, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.079135, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083579, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.165592, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 28.693405, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10432, "relative_activity": 12.424964, "balance": 28.693405, "dry_up": 3.178597, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016439, "annualized_volatility": 0.26015, "from_high_reference": -0.047397, "from_low_reference": 0.174475 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1856.628149, "fair_value_reference": 1595.011054, 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1879.27002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2397.0, "trend": 1826.061735, "fair_value": 1583.893305, "relative_strength": 2.921547, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.919928, "energy": 34.957384, "activity_lines": [ 1880.88947, 1892.544891, 1890.599827, 1869.638185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1876.140015, "volume": 39, "typical_volume": 675.2, "trend": 1833.040149, "fair_value": 1586.218086, "relative_strength": 3.712879, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.229267, "energy": 26.197872, "activity_lines": [ 1876.936434, 1889.299758, 1888.329092, 1872.869042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1800.0, "volume": 218, "typical_volume": 323.75, "trend": 1837.057149, "fair_value": 1588.054789, "relative_strength": -0.519112, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -29.314893, "energy": 38.998236, "activity_lines": [ 1852.012012, 1871.785188, 1878.900356, 1870.737419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1800.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 320.1, "trend": 1841.07415, "fair_value": 1589.891493, "relative_strength": -0.004085, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.88897, "energy": 61.701113, "activity_lines": [ 1831.082007, 1856.13125, 1870.685906, 1868.346636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1868.0, "volume": 25, "typical_volume": 318.0, "trend": 1847.357817, "fair_value": 1592.164094, "relative_strength": 3.016363, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.313205, "energy": 41.149542, "activity_lines": [ 1838.103337, 1854.701583, 1869.983694, 1870.083787 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1957.599976, "volume": 10432, "typical_volume": 839.6, "trend": 1856.628149, "fair_value": 1595.011054, "relative_strength": 7.913461, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.06224, "energy": 25.644031, "activity_lines": [ 1875.74266, 1870.148762, 1877.895765, 1877.196185 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }