{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d49b10e1-f458-43a5-89e2-a068e012c086", "symbol": "URA", "name": "Global X Uranium ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.467, "architecture_energy": 63.72, "architecture_maturity": 20.655, "architecture_confidence": 90.072, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.35, "rotation_up": 15.8, "upward_expansion": 12.55, "deceleration": 42.63, "rotation_down": 68.04, "downward_expansion": 88.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 715.747998, 732.731272, 786.440238, 817.236065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 764.599976, "trend_reference": 857.349666, "distance_from_trend": -0.108182, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 679.686742, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.12493, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.985801, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.147603, "excess_performance": -0.092936, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.108182, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023409, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.12493, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.292215, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109858, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167469, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.147603, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.338286, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3543, "relative_activity": 0.994987, "balance": 0.338286, "dry_up": 0.667046, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087714, "annualized_volatility": 0.41073, "from_high_reference": -0.290065, "from_low_reference": 0.17085 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 857.349666, "fair_value_reference": 679.686742, 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"2026-07-31", "close": 675.77002, "volume": 2890, "typical_volume": 3506.75, "trend": 861.896334, "fair_value": 678.954731, "relative_strength": -21.445998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.617993, "energy": 82.391705, "activity_lines": [ 698.004008, 732.324731, 792.79905, 823.513249 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 764.599976, "volume": 3543, "typical_volume": 3560.85, "trend": 857.349666, "fair_value": 679.686742, "relative_strength": -10.985801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.466648, "energy": 63.720378, "activity_lines": [ 715.747998, 732.731272, 786.440238, 817.236065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }