{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d49ccbee-12e4-428e-a421-c8ab8076b826",
    "symbol": "RFG",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P MIDCAP 400 PURE GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 82.663,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.891,
    "architecture_energy": 19.239,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.353,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.281,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.56,
        "rotation_up": 25.19,
        "upward_expansion": 47.58,
        "deceleration": 84.56,
        "rotation_down": 33.97,
        "downward_expansion": 27.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.156,
        61.576941,
        61.581017,
        60.568405
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 63.1105,
    "trend_reference": 59.262861,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064925,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 49.336034,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279197,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.601452,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.112501,
    "excess_performance": -0.013124,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064925,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05539,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279197,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030024,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006015,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039928,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112501,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.758986,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 54187,
      "relative_activity": 1.171721,
      "balance": 0.758986,
      "dry_up": 0.614252,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039004,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.177406,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026108,
      "from_low_reference": 0.284959
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.262861,
      "fair_value_reference": 49.336034,
      "structural_low": 52.647,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.003112,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013689,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.028157,
        "worst_return": -0.070695,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.038954,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035679,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.133356,
        "worst_return": -0.184746,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.010314,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045307,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.298197,
        "worst_return": -0.211754,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.089977,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067274,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.27085,
        "worst_return": -0.170176,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025812,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.129209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042602,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.061784,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053174,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083766,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00499,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.204806,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054372,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 24716.5,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 59.856,
        "volume": 19219,
        "typical_volume": 47299.55,
        "trend": 58.556733,
        "fair_value": 48.931174,
        "relative_strength": -0.674966,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.194909,
        "energy": 19.73564,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.512491,
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          61.26984,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 60.5977,
        "volume": 14977,
        "typical_volume": 45889.85,
        "trend": 58.789353,
        "fair_value": 49.062187,
        "relative_strength": 1.133114,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 21.677543,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 59.7056,
        "volume": 25243,
        "typical_volume": 45622.55,
        "trend": 58.998568,
        "fair_value": 49.18877,
        "relative_strength": -1.412036,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.222769,
        "energy": 18.703628,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.396787,
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          61.313702,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.1105,
        "volume": 54187,
        "typical_volume": 46245.65,
        "trend": 59.262861,
        "fair_value": 49.336034,
        "relative_strength": 0.601452,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.890846,
        "energy": 19.238937,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}