{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4a6f600-6ba9-4023-8b88-eb32961e4646", "symbol": "002332", "name": "Zhejiang Xianju Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 65.605, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.738, "architecture_energy": 15.787, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.923, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.54, "rotation_up": 37.16, "upward_expansion": 23.83, "deceleration": 38.11, "rotation_down": 25.37, "downward_expansion": 55.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.466, 8.401273, 8.430461, 8.522968 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.54, "trend_reference": 8.66412, "distance_from_trend": -0.014326, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.834, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131584, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.298776, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.04711, "excess_performance": -0.054509, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014326, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027875, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.131584, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022859, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.092988, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.156425, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04711, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.682748, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53600014, "relative_activity": 1.206504, "balance": 0.682748, "dry_up": 1.59848, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042414, "annualized_volatility": 0.17428, "from_high_reference": -0.250382, "from_low_reference": 0.068836 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.66412, "fair_value_reference": 9.834, "structural_low": 7.99, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.006536, "positive_rate": 0.483871, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": -0.012333, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 0.223993, "worst_return": -0.116142, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.033379, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.027979, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.208612, "worst_return": -0.120511, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.004707, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006812, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.132402, "worst_return": -0.0918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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8.2, "volume": 79329675, "typical_volume": 43796590.3, "trend": 8.682806, "fair_value": 9.871775, "relative_strength": -11.177034, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.28874, "energy": 31.228202, "activity_lines": [ 8.323333, 8.327944, 8.42419, 8.538805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.57, "volume": 51236243, "typical_volume": 44166063.65, "trend": 8.672662, "fair_value": 9.852223, "relative_strength": -5.042245, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.128751, "energy": 15.002455, "activity_lines": [ 8.418, 8.369273, 8.428053, 8.531527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.54, "volume": 53600014, "typical_volume": 44425894.1, "trend": 8.66412, "fair_value": 9.834, "relative_strength": -9.298776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.737826, "energy": 15.786551, "activity_lines": [ 8.466, 8.401273, 8.430461, 8.522968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }