{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4ace251-86a4-450f-9328-1fc7f166b894", "symbol": "MOBX", "name": "Mobix Labs Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.404, "architecture_energy": 50.167, "architecture_maturity": 67.472, "architecture_confidence": 89.898, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 23.23, "upward_expansion": 8.93, "deceleration": 44.45, "rotation_down": 55.07, "downward_expansion": 84.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.77, 1.869818, 2.04429, 2.428658 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.71, "trend_reference": 2.719767, "distance_from_trend": -0.37127, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.165261, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.846846, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -68.047885, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.2875, "excess_performance": -0.474954, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.37127, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236121, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.846846, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011907, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.680479, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047468, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.2875, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.886344, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1755288, "relative_activity": 0.073031, "balance": 1.886344, "dry_up": 0.325025, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.354696, "annualized_volatility": 2.885367, "from_high_reference": -0.88125, "from_low_reference": 0.310345 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.719767, "fair_value_reference": 11.165261, "structural_low": 1.305, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.17002, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.146575, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 1.292727, "worst_return": -0.503494, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.041312, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.023609, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.912468, "worst_return": -0.564044, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.457215, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.603558, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.20714, "worst_return": -0.70729, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.97, "volume": 1581816, "typical_volume": 175147374.05, "trend": 2.8357, "fair_value": 11.374859, "relative_strength": -65.575118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.422083, "energy": 46.660569, "activity_lines": [ 1.990667, 2.046, 2.332748, 2.63226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.81, "volume": 23372026, "typical_volume": 55965147.95, "trend": 2.777067, "fair_value": 11.304529, "relative_strength": -66.583918, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.285726, "energy": 49.04687, "activity_lines": [ 1.922, 1.993091, 2.20929, 2.566086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.68, "volume": 4538689, "typical_volume": 42423841.1, "trend": 2.743067, "fair_value": 11.234277, "relative_strength": -68.195637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.859354, "energy": 54.527863, "activity_lines": [ 1.829333, 1.924545, 2.114357, 2.495308 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.71, "volume": 1755288, "typical_volume": 24034943.7, "trend": 2.719767, "fair_value": 11.165261, "relative_strength": -68.047885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.404308, "energy": 50.166939, "activity_lines": [ 1.77, 1.869818, 2.04429, 2.428658 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }