{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4cedd14-96f4-4938-addf-766be3556b31", "symbol": "RBF", "name": "R&B Food Supply Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 63.111, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.444, "architecture_energy": 59.302, "architecture_maturity": 97.454, "architecture_confidence": 76.226, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.81, "rotation_up": 50.35, "upward_expansion": 81.81, "deceleration": 71.44, "rotation_down": 27.98, "downward_expansion": 10.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.026667, 4.987091, 4.658915, 4.370992 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.1, "trend_reference": 3.97944, "distance_from_trend": 0.281587, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.157089, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.171686, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.442834, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.738284, "excess_performance": 0.545959, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.281587, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180701, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.171686, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.255125, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.184428, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258913, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.738284, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.961105, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7880000, "relative_activity": 0.878201, "balance": 1.961105, "dry_up": 0.865663, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064857, "annualized_volatility": 0.341648, "from_high_reference": -0.028571, "from_low_reference": 0.858165 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.97944, "fair_value_reference": 6.157089, "structural_low": 2.952857, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.009622, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 3.1e-05, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.137931, "worst_return": -0.238938, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.11373, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.142114, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.379146, "worst_return": -0.203883, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.220084, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.196505, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.050459, "worst_return": -0.396389, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 5.026667, 4.89, 4.505102, 4.220633 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.98, "volume": 4250200, "typical_volume": 9287420.0, "trend": 3.909762, "fair_value": 6.183319, "relative_strength": 15.204491, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.29099, "energy": 62.124117, "activity_lines": [ 5.006, 4.936, 4.580039, 4.294203 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.1, "volume": 7880000, "typical_volume": 8972890.0, "trend": 3.97944, "fair_value": 6.157089, "relative_strength": 18.442834, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.444228, "energy": 59.302298, "activity_lines": [ 5.026667, 4.987091, 4.658915, 4.370992 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }