{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d4d24f75-313c-40b7-bfa8-c91f21aa46fa",
    "symbol": "FAUG",
    "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY BUFFER ETF - AUGUST",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 61.501,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.566,
    "architecture_energy": 87.083,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.365,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.16,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.38,
        "rotation_up": 68.67,
        "upward_expansion": 96.6,
        "deceleration": 41.77,
        "rotation_down": 26.94,
        "downward_expansion": 18.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 57.43,
    "trend_reference": 54.65157,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.050839,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.111774,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.219016,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.342493,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.073845,
    "excess_performance": -0.05178,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050839,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024438,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219016,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000158,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043425,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00137,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073845,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.140221,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.420423,
      "balance": 3.140221,
      "dry_up": 0.344386,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.008288,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.07318,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000522,
      "from_low_reference": 0.144024
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 47.111774,
      "structural_low": 50.67,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.009814,
        "positive_rate": 0.711111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.711111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004373,
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        "worst_return": -0.038328,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.020341,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 53.476597,
        "fair_value": 46.07893,
        "relative_strength": -3.165437,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 46.19209,
        "relative_strength": -3.336077,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 198905.55,
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        "fair_value": 46.421703,
        "relative_strength": -1.605327,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 64.234488,
        "energy": 63.26511,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 46.539145,
        "relative_strength": -2.822074,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 46.65344,
        "relative_strength": -3.459217,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.59,
        "volume": 49841,
        "typical_volume": 195355.4,
        "trend": 54.271237,
        "fair_value": 46.764722,
        "relative_strength": -2.250119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.143611,
        "energy": 86.839573,
        "activity_lines": [
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          55.65304,
          54.989246
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 56.59,
        "volume": 69468,
        "typical_volume": 195444.55,
        "trend": 54.382903,
        "fair_value": 46.87344,
        "relative_strength": -1.601562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.755389,
        "energy": 85.532821,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.09,
        "volume": 64544,
        "typical_volume": 194611.8,
        "trend": 54.519237,
        "fair_value": 46.991004,
        "relative_strength": -1.709156,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.842403,
        "energy": 88.719753,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.78074,
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          56.033474,
          55.313495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 57.43,
        "volume": 80759,
        "typical_volume": 192089.85,
        "trend": 54.65157,
        "fair_value": 47.111774,
        "relative_strength": -4.342493,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.56561,
        "energy": 87.08255,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}