{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4ebfa5a-647d-4522-94dd-60580b580be8", "symbol": "MANAPPURAM", "name": "Manappuram Finance Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.176, "architecture_energy": 87.184, "architecture_maturity": 38.771, "architecture_confidence": 86.427, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 78.77, "upward_expansion": 96.67, "deceleration": 42.23, "rotation_down": 10.77, "downward_expansion": 21.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 358.146671, 344.60455, 328.621588, 315.372076 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 366.75, "trend_reference": 303.189166, "distance_from_trend": 0.209641, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 223.501181, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.640931, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.443358, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.220775, "excess_performance": 0.264484, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.209641, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053554, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.640931, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10927, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.254434, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07048, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.220775, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.546369, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43885840, "relative_activity": 2.531429, "balance": 1.546369, "dry_up": 1.59033, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053914, "annualized_volatility": 0.307088, "from_high_reference": -0.038789, "from_low_reference": 0.498394 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 303.189166, "fair_value_reference": 223.501181, "structural_low": 244.762107, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.011862, "positive_rate": 0.512821, "directional_follow_through": 0.512821, "median_excess_return": -0.00975, "regime_survival": 0.717949, "best_return": 0.135647, "worst_return": -0.254088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.006733, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.015392, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.354304, "worst_return": -0.240785, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.024245, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.006304, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.404813, "worst_return": -0.235673, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 328.846669, 323.342731, 310.683996, 302.750463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 352.950012, "volume": 29236732, "typical_volume": 16647715.65, "trend": 298.403975, "fair_value": 220.492459, "relative_strength": 26.774068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.761806, "energy": 81.137529, "activity_lines": [ 337.690006, 329.289096, 316.097141, 306.356931 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 371.850006, "volume": 25815640, "typical_volume": 16740994.4, "trend": 300.461285, "fair_value": 222.054433, "relative_strength": 29.079439, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.680149, "energy": 89.167474, "activity_lines": [ 350.546673, 337.844551, 322.878782, 311.095385 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 366.75, "volume": 43885840, "typical_volume": 17336386.45, "trend": 303.189166, "fair_value": 223.501181, "relative_strength": 25.443358, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.176139, "energy": 87.183574, "activity_lines": [ 358.146671, 344.60455, 328.621588, 315.372076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }