{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4efdb01-e6c0-43e3-9ca3-7d818333bf3f", "symbol": "JMA", "name": "Jullundur Motor Agency (Delhi) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.193, "architecture_energy": 15.225, "architecture_maturity": 33.635, "architecture_confidence": 88.94, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.2, "rotation_up": 21.12, "upward_expansion": 50.57, "deceleration": 90.91, "rotation_down": 27.88, "downward_expansion": 16.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 88.514, 89.543455, 89.114238, 87.929763 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 88.410004, "trend_reference": 85.879333, "distance_from_trend": 0.029468, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 90.087907, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.018625, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.228086, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.138277, "excess_performance": 0.181987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029468, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031794, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.018625, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037661, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032281, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035077, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.138277, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.458231, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44472, "relative_activity": 1.197914, "balance": 1.458231, "dry_up": 0.80405, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063472, "annualized_volatility": 0.259835, "from_high_reference": -0.093231, "from_low_reference": 0.258505 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.879333, "fair_value_reference": 90.087907, "structural_low": 74.050003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.003755, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008005, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.091296, "worst_return": -0.053701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.030473, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.012153, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.087564, "worst_return": 0.023591, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.115151, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.060007, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.117081, "worst_return": 0.113221, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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84.451666, "fair_value": 89.527942, "relative_strength": 7.00834, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.207042, "energy": 30.918087, "activity_lines": [ 91.110667, 90.602181, 88.606952, 87.015053 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 89.32, "volume": 27749, "typical_volume": 40814.35, "trend": 84.795666, "fair_value": 89.668099, "relative_strength": 5.320266, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.092488, "energy": 19.923718, "activity_lines": [ 90.246, 90.532909, 88.823856, 87.329139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 88.349998, "volume": 27321, "typical_volume": 38477.75, "trend": 85.149999, "fair_value": 89.806829, "relative_strength": 6.581344, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.810961, "energy": 16.748797, "activity_lines": [ 89.409999, 90.294908, 88.95119, 87.558451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 87.919998, "volume": 19858, "typical_volume": 38363.7, "trend": 85.424666, "fair_value": 89.941306, "relative_strength": 3.417506, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.026161, "energy": 15.943707, "activity_lines": [ 88.761999, 89.913636, 89.020047, 87.737161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.410004, "volume": 44472, "typical_volume": 37124.55, "trend": 85.879333, "fair_value": 90.087907, "relative_strength": 3.228086, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.192665, "energy": 15.225123, "activity_lines": [ 88.514, 89.543455, 89.114238, 87.929763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }