{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4f1fee5-3268-4993-9c13-241b6bd228fb", "symbol": "300229", "name": "TRS Information Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.956, "architecture_energy": 51.921, "architecture_maturity": 89.76, "architecture_confidence": 89.227, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.69, "rotation_up": 26.59, "upward_expansion": 8.34, "deceleration": 60.9, "rotation_down": 52.01, "downward_expansion": 81.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.825333, 13.827455, 15.112952, 16.316129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.39, "trend_reference": 18.188667, "distance_from_trend": -0.153869, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.225405, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155574, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.578531, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.328241, "excess_performance": -0.335641, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153869, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094115, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155574, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168492, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245785, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010905, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.328241, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.846029, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 272897851, "relative_activity": 2.65526, "balance": 0.846029, "dry_up": 1.590348, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105813, "annualized_volatility": 0.497308, "from_high_reference": -0.503548, "from_low_reference": 0.307562 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.188667, "fair_value_reference": 18.225405, "structural_low": 11.77, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.021457, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.003124, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.392035, "worst_return": -0.180605, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.1062, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.042385, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.778798, "worst_return": -0.257174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.194928, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.1136, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.153097, "worst_return": -0.300504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.643945, "energy": 90.209181, "activity_lines": [ 13.377333, 14.373273, 15.936048, 17.233462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.91, "volume": 121853586, "typical_volume": 98372572.4, "trend": 18.498667, "fair_value": 18.341978, "relative_strength": -41.189653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.352845, "energy": 89.119727, "activity_lines": [ 12.746, 13.742909, 15.446381, 16.794043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.04, "volume": 139379362, "typical_volume": 94723491.75, "trend": 18.339, "fair_value": 18.272521, "relative_strength": -28.651977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.438894, "energy": 64.077404, "activity_lines": [ 13.073333, 13.623091, 15.201667, 16.506387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.39, "volume": 272897851, "typical_volume": 102776328.25, "trend": 18.188667, "fair_value": 18.225405, "relative_strength": -24.578531, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.95618, "energy": 51.921287, "activity_lines": [ 13.825333, 13.827455, 15.112952, 16.316129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }