{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d4f4d3ba-8cd7-4caa-aaf6-8ef281fc55fc", "symbol": "T1EV34", "name": "Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 59.987, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.633, "architecture_energy": 29.043, "architecture_maturity": 34.767, "architecture_confidence": 87.969, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.38, "rotation_up": 32.96, "upward_expansion": 55.82, "deceleration": 82.62, "rotation_down": 42.0, "downward_expansion": 26.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.454666, 84.939635, 84.520857, 83.84086 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 86.669998, "trend_reference": 83.772333, "distance_from_trend": 0.03459, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 52.175577, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.661122, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 12.893632, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.049671, "excess_performance": 0.007377, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.03459, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.661122, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.25632, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.128936, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064082, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.049671, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.001947, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.009132, "balance": 0.001947, "dry_up": 4.593607, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034783, "annualized_volatility": 0.361146, "from_high_reference": -0.109158, "from_low_reference": 0.991498 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 83.772333, "fair_value_reference": 52.175577, "structural_low": 75.120003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.03202, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.050117, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.012425, "worst_return": -0.071382, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.091766, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.089582, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.130235, "worst_return": 0.053297, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.315773, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.206761, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.59427, "worst_return": 0.037276, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.03202, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.003264, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.124912, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.575, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.105143, 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82.742065 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 81.959999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 312.4, "trend": 81.984001, "fair_value": 48.798782, "relative_strength": 13.791644, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.283681, "energy": 30.389778, "activity_lines": [ 84.024, 83.897818, 82.473, 82.768796 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 85.989998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 282.3, "trend": 82.650334, "fair_value": 49.233718, "relative_strength": 20.331874, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.023882, "energy": 24.541456, "activity_lines": [ 84.233332, 84.545272, 82.761143, 83.027248 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 85.989998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 173.65, "trend": 83.225667, "fair_value": 49.668654, "relative_strength": 16.241617, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.382284, "energy": 15.29811, "activity_lines": [ 84.673999, 84.99509, 83.039524, 83.24271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 89.279999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 170.65, "trend": 83.679, "fair_value": 50.121731, "relative_strength": 19.011119, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.075148, "energy": 40.156411, "activity_lines": [ 86.280665, 85.90509, 83.656047, 83.633312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 89.279999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.6, "trend": 83.967, "fair_value": 50.567692, "relative_strength": 15.751476, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.60429, "energy": 78.8105, "activity_lines": [ 87.695332, 86.596363, 84.270857, 83.994667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 81.300003, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": 9.6, "trend": 83.861, "fair_value": 50.957051, "relative_strength": 7.267661, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.513815, "energy": 23.6935, "activity_lines": [ 85.962, 85.618, 84.119381, 83.822602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 77.93, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 109.6, "trend": 83.642667, "fair_value": 51.324808, "relative_strength": 2.155799, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.148498, "energy": 15.629451, "activity_lines": [ 83.149334, 84.175272, 83.673809, 83.439957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.949997, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 109.45, "trend": 83.763333, "fair_value": 51.75109, "relative_strength": 10.638758, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.164372, "energy": 13.732421, "activity_lines": [ 83.880666, 84.582181, 84.13019, 83.653333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.669998, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 109.5, "trend": 83.772333, "fair_value": 52.175577, "relative_strength": 12.893632, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.632524, "energy": 29.042532, "activity_lines": [ 84.454666, 84.939635, 84.520857, 83.84086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }