{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d501bbd2-1bba-42cc-b99b-05f1882f3904", "symbol": "KNOW", "name": "Knowit AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.518, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 0.831, "architecture_energy": 16.556, "architecture_maturity": 87.526, "architecture_confidence": 58.634, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.54, "rotation_up": 40.3, "upward_expansion": 28.76, "deceleration": 47.17, "rotation_down": 14.12, "downward_expansion": 46.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 91.553332, 88.48, 88.352327, 92.065838 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 95.199997, "trend_reference": 98.303388, "distance_from_trend": -0.03157, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 127.073346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.250826, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.047238, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.225915, "excess_performance": -0.287409, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03157, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.250826, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143458, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.180472, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173383, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225915, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.714456, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 74239, "relative_activity": 0.277274, "balance": 1.714456, "dry_up": 0.545178, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068681, "annualized_volatility": 0.447857, "from_high_reference": -0.265852, "from_low_reference": 0.257596 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 98.303388, "fair_value_reference": 127.073346, "structural_low": 75.699997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.025042, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.026108, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.219118, "worst_return": -0.138163, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.028985, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.011925, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.208131, "worst_return": -0.285714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.103955, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.141841, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": -0.060137, "worst_return": -0.188884, "sufficient": true 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99.907797, "fair_value": 127.600424, "relative_strength": -22.570538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.550032, "energy": 26.7913, "activity_lines": [ 86.426668, 85.800001, 87.883265, 92.789238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 92.599998, "volume": 188833, "typical_volume": 273850.6, "trend": 99.104893, "fair_value": 127.34895, "relative_strength": -19.320658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.415681, "energy": 20.902636, "activity_lines": [ 89.013333, 86.916364, 87.953503, 92.317767 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 95.199997, "volume": 74239, "typical_volume": 267746.15, "trend": 98.303388, "fair_value": 127.073346, "relative_strength": -18.047238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.8308, "energy": 16.555605, "activity_lines": [ 91.553332, 88.48, 88.352327, 92.065838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }