{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d506dccd-7331-4f20-acd6-c15e94150583", "symbol": "300137", "name": "Hebei Sailhero Environmental Protection High-tech Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.599, "architecture_energy": 59.752, "architecture_maturity": 15.892, "architecture_confidence": 63.646, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.32, "rotation_up": 14.05, "upward_expansion": 27.36, "deceleration": 50.41, "rotation_down": 68.1, "downward_expansion": 52.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.20255, 13.833527, 15.439332, 15.109195 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.82, "trend_reference": 14.223053, "distance_from_trend": -0.098646, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.474754, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.715107, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.050896, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.242248, "excess_performance": 0.234848, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.098646, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.168442, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.715107, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.234591, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.100509, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.722745, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.242248, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.880884, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 147625104, "relative_activity": 1.067811, "balance": 0.880884, "dry_up": 1.28709, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.185283, "annualized_volatility": 0.809459, "from_high_reference": -0.398122, "from_low_reference": 1.129568 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.223053, "fair_value_reference": 7.474754, "structural_low": 9.2, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.04505, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.051501, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.005119, "worst_return": -0.08498, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.011635, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017942, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.045455, "worst_return": -0.022184, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.049276, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.008137, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.035836, "worst_return": -0.134387, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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11.46, "volume": 123792395, "typical_volume": 127153072.75, "trend": 14.07172, "fair_value": 7.352831, "relative_strength": 5.084065, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -17.25922, "energy": 22.5806, "activity_lines": [ 15.226054, 16.366159, 16.565831, 15.545098 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.04, "volume": 270321343, "typical_volume": 134810684.05, "trend": 14.123719, "fair_value": 7.394433, "relative_strength": 8.961496, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.119547, "energy": 38.541247, "activity_lines": [ 13.892603, 15.413584, 16.202729, 15.414019 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.72, "volume": 170022922, "typical_volume": 136140469.65, "trend": 14.141053, "fair_value": 7.428087, "relative_strength": -2.217016, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.336169, "energy": 58.003676, "activity_lines": [ 12.485639, 14.348283, 15.714578, 15.194424 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.82, "volume": 147625104, "typical_volume": 138250187.15, "trend": 14.223053, "fair_value": 7.474754, "relative_strength": 10.050896, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.598523, "energy": 59.75233, "activity_lines": [ 12.20255, 13.833527, 15.439332, 15.109195 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }