{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d534624f-0586-4cf0-9e47-f2f73ef5dca9", "symbol": "CROWN", "name": "Crown Lifters Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.817, "architecture_energy": 23.319, "architecture_maturity": 29.789, "architecture_confidence": 65.295, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.7, "rotation_up": 21.34, "upward_expansion": 13.24, "deceleration": 57.8, "rotation_down": 37.32, "downward_expansion": 60.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 113.263333, 113.099636, 116.271857, 118.014967 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 111.809998, "trend_reference": 119.64, "distance_from_trend": -0.065446, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 164.012091, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.318282, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.932121, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.159197, "excess_performance": -0.115488, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065446, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058701, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.318282, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249152, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139321, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184356, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.159197, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.52364, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50404, "relative_activity": 0.666168, "balance": 0.52364, "dry_up": 0.883376, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087621, "annualized_volatility": 0.375997, "from_high_reference": -0.414607, "from_low_reference": 0.11121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 119.64, "fair_value_reference": 164.012091, "structural_low": 100.620003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.002842, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.006157, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.173491, "worst_return": -0.184864, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.036588, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.007759, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.332326, "worst_return": -0.329028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.106196, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.10714, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.495468, "worst_return": -0.109147, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.456498, "energy": 32.808993, "activity_lines": [ 112.994665, 114.135999, 118.668619, 120.06757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 112.93, "volume": 20170, "typical_volume": 75662.1, "trend": 121.576667, "fair_value": 162.741919, "relative_strength": -13.894652, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.82666, "energy": 30.325486, "activity_lines": [ 113.128666, 113.20509, 117.990286, 119.462666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 114.379997, "volume": 139734, "typical_volume": 79612.9, "trend": 120.943, "fair_value": 163.148977, "relative_strength": -10.204418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.922507, "energy": 22.58882, "activity_lines": [ 113.649331, 113.16309, 117.485809, 118.998365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 114.050003, "volume": 57046, "typical_volume": 78637.2, "trend": 120.159666, "fair_value": 163.584844, "relative_strength": -12.075225, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.243181, "energy": 20.003473, "activity_lines": [ 113.942, 113.305272, 116.969333, 118.553656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 111.809998, "volume": 50404, "typical_volume": 75662.55, "trend": 119.64, "fair_value": 164.012091, "relative_strength": -13.932121, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.8166, "energy": 23.31925, "activity_lines": [ 113.263333, 113.099636, 116.271857, 118.014967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }