{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d53713f5-08cc-44f8-8b0c-86543103b9b7",
    "symbol": "600238",
    "name": "Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.615,
    "architecture_energy": 73.624,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.299,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.242,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.74,
        "rotation_up": 10.45,
        "upward_expansion": 16.68,
        "deceleration": 37.73,
        "rotation_down": 72.0,
        "downward_expansion": 90.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.154667,
        4.340364,
        4.612905,
        4.786
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.27,
    "trend_reference": 5.121333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.166233,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.293974,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.414585,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.897967,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.343077,
    "excess_performance": -0.299873,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166233,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119037,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.414585,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089662,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.24898,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047087,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.343077,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.698014,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 42055952,
      "relative_activity": 1.511107,
      "balance": 0.698014,
      "dry_up": 0.787256,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.101423,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.560619,
      "from_high_reference": -0.449032,
      "from_low_reference": 0.206215
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.121333,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.293974,
      "structural_low": 3.54,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": -0.014673,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004722,
        "regime_survival": 0.842105,
        "best_return": 0.427297,
        "worst_return": -0.19508,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.048689,
        "positive_rate": 0.307692,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021539,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.295488,
        "worst_return": -0.251596,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.041035,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064884,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.349107,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.103125,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.403723,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-09",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.190698,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.9,
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        "typical_volume": 27680964.85,
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        "relative_strength": -30.730945,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 80.123535,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.14,
        "volume": 12994050,
        "typical_volume": 26799627.25,
        "trend": 5.19,
        "fair_value": 7.337756,
        "relative_strength": -26.124467,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.276985,
        "energy": 79.538947,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.164,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.27,
        "volume": 42055952,
        "typical_volume": 27831219.2,
        "trend": 5.121333,
        "fair_value": 7.293974,
        "relative_strength": -24.897967,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.615225,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}