{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5427bd8-34a3-430a-9375-20df852d80cd", "symbol": "OCCI", "name": "OFS Credit Company Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.814, "architecture_energy": 43.452, "architecture_maturity": 32.154, "architecture_confidence": 85.648, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.41, "rotation_up": 17.14, "upward_expansion": 4.89, "deceleration": 55.73, "rotation_down": 56.79, "downward_expansion": 75.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.451204, 2.473386, 2.614768, 2.668384 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.55, "trend_reference": 2.848545, "distance_from_trend": -0.104806, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.94374, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.353406, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.527295, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.295384, "excess_performance": -0.482838, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.104806, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138831, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.353406, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112428, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.345273, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014252, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.295384, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.035875, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 833178, "relative_activity": 0.678426, "balance": 1.035875, "dry_up": 1.003728, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095057, "annualized_volatility": 0.488895, "from_high_reference": -0.448481, "from_low_reference": 0.186047 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.848545, "fair_value_reference": 3.94374, "structural_low": 2.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.017386, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.013868, "regime_survival": 0.64, "best_return": 0.170569, "worst_return": -0.153037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.012748, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.084917, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.253918, "worst_return": -0.185993, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.044565, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.177381, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.020698, "worst_return": -0.289186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.145054, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.045534, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1026, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.070061, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.054737, 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"relative_strength": -38.236304, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.454711, "energy": 54.758612, "activity_lines": [ 2.407715, 2.509742, 2.645919, 2.722826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.46, "volume": 989098, "typical_volume": 1248989.45, "trend": 2.901174, "fair_value": 3.951979, "relative_strength": -34.427206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.673883, "energy": 45.628376, "activity_lines": [ 2.413113, 2.478655, 2.626066, 2.69104 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.55, "volume": 833178, "typical_volume": 1228104.85, "trend": 2.848545, "fair_value": 3.94374, "relative_strength": -34.527295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.814436, "energy": 43.451803, "activity_lines": [ 2.451204, 2.473386, 2.614768, 2.668384 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }