{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5434c51-d0e6-4319-b85b-1f22b837b252", "symbol": "600429", "name": "Beijing Sanyuan Foods Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.668, "architecture_energy": 41.982, "architecture_maturity": 77.672, "architecture_confidence": 93.783, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.39, "rotation_up": 27.5, "upward_expansion": 19.51, "deceleration": 46.35, "rotation_down": 40.12, "downward_expansion": 69.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.33, 4.266909, 4.596381, 4.855527 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.42, "trend_reference": 5.107333, "distance_from_trend": -0.134578, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.599825, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.039094, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.707829, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.188991, "excess_performance": -0.145787, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.134578, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071788, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.039094, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304092, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127078, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172283, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.188991, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.561351, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73540462, "relative_activity": 0.911401, "balance": 0.561351, "dry_up": 1.095661, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080578, "annualized_volatility": 0.333507, "from_high_reference": -0.392857, "from_low_reference": 0.11335 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.107333, "fair_value_reference": 4.599825, "structural_low": 3.97, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.021012, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.013756, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.266366, "worst_return": -0.131222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.025916, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.016513, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.290323, "worst_return": -0.136268, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.021869, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.010507, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.282948, "worst_return": -0.182061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.624203, "energy": 77.123206, "activity_lines": [ 4.11, 4.215455, 4.705048, 4.940301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.56, "volume": 140804979, "typical_volume": 85440685.5, "trend": 5.132667, "fair_value": 4.603697, "relative_strength": -7.649509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.065036, "energy": 50.095208, "activity_lines": [ 4.259333, 4.249273, 4.655238, 4.901505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.42, "volume": 73540462, "typical_volume": 80689435.55, "trend": 5.107333, "fair_value": 4.599825, "relative_strength": -12.707829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.667623, "energy": 41.981935, "activity_lines": [ 4.33, 4.266909, 4.596381, 4.855527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }