{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d54e1b81-724d-431e-9e5c-20031e8c32da",
    "symbol": "E40",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy CAC 40 ESG UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.41,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.664,
    "architecture_energy": 63.192,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.776,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.933,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.51,
        "rotation_up": 58.1,
        "upward_expansion": 81.95,
        "deceleration": 55.41,
        "rotation_down": 21.88,
        "downward_expansion": 10.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        13.269015
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 14.144,
    "trend_reference": 13.132667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077009,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.127618,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.166264,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.116707,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.072328,
    "excess_performance": 0.019016,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077009,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012624,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166264,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086193,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011167,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022446,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072328,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.56893,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 161784,
      "relative_activity": 2.743152,
      "balance": 2.56893,
      "dry_up": 1.481635,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023832,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184841,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003944,
      "from_low_reference": 0.207444
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 12.127618,
      "structural_low": 11.714,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": -0.003786,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000256,
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        "worst_return": -0.13319,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.091264,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.159438,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.067695,
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        "trend": 13.018989,
        "fair_value": 11.895534,
        "relative_strength": -2.308951,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.033055,
        "energy": 21.028693,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.826533,
          12.684218,
          12.8542,
          12.93502
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 12.766,
        "volume": 32104,
        "typical_volume": 61379.05,
        "trend": 13.006788,
        "fair_value": 11.907221,
        "relative_strength": -1.992679,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.969093,
        "energy": 22.500567,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.861333,
          12.684291,
          12.834295,
          12.918699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 12.874,
        "volume": 63090,
        "typical_volume": 63883.85,
        "trend": 13.005899,
        "fair_value": 11.919589,
        "relative_strength": -1.127918,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.58212,
        "energy": 18.527297,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.880533,
          12.718509,
          12.826114,
          12.910132
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 12.602,
        "volume": 50153,
        "typical_volume": 65249.85,
        "trend": 12.982724,
        "fair_value": 11.929506,
        "relative_strength": -1.262617,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.381455,
        "energy": 15.926089,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.775733,
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          12.793457,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.922,
        "volume": 115714,
        "typical_volume": 70057.0,
        "trend": 12.968734,
        "fair_value": 11.942888,
        "relative_strength": -0.76612,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.800083,
        "energy": 11.325305,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.797733,
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          12.793752,
          12.880156
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 13.154,
        "volume": 115349,
        "typical_volume": 73190.1,
        "trend": 12.968949,
        "fair_value": 11.95778,
        "relative_strength": 0.185828,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -4.66088,
        "energy": 5.765937,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.918533,
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          12.817495,
          12.892109
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.198,
        "volume": 20420,
        "typical_volume": 67895.1,
        "trend": 12.980933,
        "fair_value": 11.973509,
        "relative_strength": 0.110665,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.267316,
        "energy": 15.843545,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.03,
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          12.847067,
          12.906886
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.432,
        "volume": 11188,
        "typical_volume": 65595.65,
        "trend": 12.987333,
        "fair_value": 11.988487,
        "relative_strength": 0.273808,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.358225,
        "energy": 39.287273,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.190667,
          13.047418,
          12.899476,
          12.935987
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 13.642,
        "volume": 1880,
        "typical_volume": 62768.4,
        "trend": 13.0118,
        "fair_value": 12.006968,
        "relative_strength": 0.981025,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.816177,
        "energy": 55.643083,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.384133,
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          12.97019,
          12.978224
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 13.648,
        "volume": 8046,
        "typical_volume": 61106.4,
        "trend": 13.028667,
        "fair_value": 12.023189,
        "relative_strength": 1.441557,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.900292,
        "energy": 64.007908,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.510267,
          13.272545,
          13.0384,
          13.019269
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.874,
        "volume": 507,
        "typical_volume": 58299.8,
        "trend": 13.053733,
        "fair_value": 12.043593,
        "relative_strength": 1.614968,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.3268,
        "energy": 80.611338,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.663333,
          13.412691,
          13.125952,
          13.073806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.552,
        "volume": 44102,
        "typical_volume": 56590.45,
        "trend": 13.069867,
        "fair_value": 12.05947,
        "relative_strength": 1.252197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.517744,
        "energy": 73.732028,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.661067,
          13.474655,
          13.179629,
          13.105953
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.524,
        "volume": 25134,
        "typical_volume": 55483.65,
        "trend": 13.081533,
        "fair_value": 12.074755,
        "relative_strength": 1.034396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.011056,
        "energy": 66.228196,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.625867,
          13.517236,
          13.230695,
          13.135252
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.496,
        "volume": 81481,
        "typical_volume": 55794.45,
        "trend": 13.094,
        "fair_value": 12.089389,
        "relative_strength": 0.430981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.618658,
        "energy": 46.412241,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.5752,
          13.542909,
          13.279829,
          13.161991
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.72,
        "volume": 81133,
        "typical_volume": 54724.95,
        "trend": 13.111133,
        "fair_value": 12.107192,
        "relative_strength": 0.45935,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.093382,
        "energy": 42.629393,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.608933,
          13.593055,
          13.346257,
          13.202378
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.144,
        "volume": 161784,
        "typical_volume": 58977.4,
        "trend": 13.132667,
        "fair_value": 12.127618,
        "relative_strength": 1.116707,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.664243,
        "energy": 63.192435,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.7792,
          13.705782,
          13.447067,
          13.269015
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}