{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d56467f7-d95f-4cb0-af90-24623d84edf7", "symbol": "PIIND", "name": "PI Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.22, "architecture_energy": 28.498, "architecture_maturity": 55.604, "architecture_confidence": 88.815, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.83, "rotation_up": 26.04, "upward_expansion": 15.42, "deceleration": 45.32, "rotation_down": 36.47, "downward_expansion": 65.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 2721.97627, 2705.707981, 2777.090608, 2834.376424 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2774.600098, "trend_reference": 2923.010173, "distance_from_trend": -0.050773, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3573.731344, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.223613, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.854251, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.111891, "excess_performance": -0.068182, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050773, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070013, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.223613, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076672, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.118543, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042391, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.111891, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.622226, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 843104, "relative_activity": 0.752158, "balance": 0.622226, "dry_up": 0.826396, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051459, "annualized_volatility": 0.258907, "from_high_reference": -0.290633, "from_low_reference": 0.101923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2923.010173, "fair_value_reference": 3573.731344, "structural_low": 2517.962261, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.026459, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": 0.025515, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.197357, "worst_return": -0.107637, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.091003, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.066741, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.297638, "worst_return": -0.106782, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.162685, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.004697, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.306749, "worst_return": -0.144681, 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2844.857823 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2774.600098, "volume": 843104, "typical_volume": 1120912.75, "trend": 2923.010173, "fair_value": 3573.731344, "relative_strength": -11.854251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.219653, "energy": 28.497708, "activity_lines": [ 2721.97627, 2705.707981, 2777.090608, 2834.376424 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }