{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5731f4d-fbcb-4e2a-87f9-ce1539e9797c", "symbol": "6274", "name": "Taiwan Union Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.838, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.507, "architecture_energy": 21.026, "architecture_maturity": 69.859, "architecture_confidence": 92.227, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.32, "rotation_up": 30.22, "upward_expansion": 56.13, "deceleration": 88.0, "rotation_down": 32.16, "downward_expansion": 22.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 1409.0, 1440.181818, 1439.534521, 1287.788472 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1675.0, "trend_reference": 1064.443052, "distance_from_trend": 0.573593, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 360.45029, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.646965, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 74.962693, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.253174, "excess_performance": 1.811802, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.573593, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.492607, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.646965, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.756131, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.749627, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.380354, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.253174, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.889902, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13739706, "relative_activity": 0.449887, "balance": 0.889902, "dry_up": 0.911483, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.20147, "annualized_volatility": 1.046126, "from_high_reference": -0.127604, "from_low_reference": 5.1733 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1064.443052, "fair_value_reference": 360.45029, "structural_low": 437.500646, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.062818, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.011528, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.3083, "worst_return": -0.102273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.302693, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.192818, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.433036, "worst_return": 0.050746, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.696865, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.465296, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.404762, "worst_return": 0.029851, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"trend": 991.942437, "fair_value": 342.003336, "relative_strength": 28.657925, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.07632, "energy": 21.17838, "activity_lines": [ 1266.0, 1416.0, 1382.863049, 1216.882809 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1440.0, "volume": 37642201, "typical_volume": 33698222.05, "trend": 1024.019795, "fair_value": 350.417385, "relative_strength": 59.506538, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.70392, "energy": 24.254235, "activity_lines": [ 1286.666667, 1404.454545, 1402.128299, 1245.789749 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1675.0, "volume": 13739706, "typical_volume": 30540369.2, "trend": 1064.443052, "fair_value": 360.45029, "relative_strength": 74.962693, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.506664, "energy": 21.02644, "activity_lines": [ 1409.0, 1440.181818, 1439.534521, 1287.788472 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }