{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d57c9aae-f9c9-46ae-8e87-6e7f43367b83", "symbol": "DF", "name": "Dividend 15 Split Corp. II", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.588, "architecture_energy": 79.995, "architecture_maturity": 45.391, "architecture_confidence": 82.743, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.24, "rotation_up": 78.74, "upward_expansion": 93.24, "deceleration": 45.81, "rotation_down": 10.93, "downward_expansion": 17.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.407452, 9.192182, 8.759672, 8.420266 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.38, "trend_reference": 8.035043, "distance_from_trend": 0.167386, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.926981, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.903803, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.971866, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.26644, "excess_performance": 0.146018, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.167386, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103664, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.903803, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130588, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.149719, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058291, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.26644, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.471883, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 331900, "relative_activity": 1.000151, "balance": 3.471883, "dry_up": 1.247778, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023472, "annualized_volatility": 0.158464, "from_high_reference": -0.026748, "from_low_reference": 0.695123 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.035043, "fair_value_reference": 4.926981, "structural_low": 6.324721, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.035837, "positive_rate": 0.789474, "directional_follow_through": 0.789474, "median_excess_return": 0.022622, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.141892, "worst_return": -0.338558, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.070625, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.032013, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.302494, "worst_return": -0.358539, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.231297, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.115008, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.394073, "worst_return": -0.318443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 92.37146, "activity_lines": [ 9.367401, 9.098843, 8.652713, 8.328689 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.38, "volume": 331900, "typical_volume": 331850.0, "trend": 8.035043, "fair_value": 4.926981, "relative_strength": 14.971866, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.588086, "energy": 79.994631, "activity_lines": [ 9.407452, 9.192182, 8.759672, 8.420266 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }