{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5856dfd-1adf-460f-840f-c4a470281c65", "symbol": "300942", "name": "Shenzhen Bioeasy Biotechnology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.9, "architecture_energy": 40.204, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 62.632, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.38, "rotation_up": 26.92, "upward_expansion": 17.91, "deceleration": 66.87, "rotation_down": 38.83, "downward_expansion": 65.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.274667, 6.230364, 6.587013, 7.139017 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.69, "trend_reference": 7.951067, "distance_from_trend": -0.158603, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.241132, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.276063, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.672962, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.31665, "excess_performance": -0.324049, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.158603, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139687, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.276063, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079518, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.30673, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062788, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.31665, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.63183, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43464344, "relative_activity": 1.497918, "balance": 0.63183, "dry_up": 1.43085, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100012, "annualized_volatility": 0.384341, "from_high_reference": -0.527208, "from_low_reference": 0.188277 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.951067, "fair_value_reference": 9.241132, "structural_low": 5.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.032086, "positive_rate": 0.387097, "directional_follow_through": 0.612903, "median_excess_return": -0.036474, "regime_survival": 0.870968, "best_return": 0.213953, "worst_return": -0.227713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.009203, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.100514, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.313627, "worst_return": -0.506902, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.183663, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.11716, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.083004, "worst_return": -0.370124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 6.17, "volume": 59757739, "typical_volume": 25670740.25, "trend": 8.395734, "fair_value": 9.404763, "relative_strength": -42.683938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.724598, "energy": 64.972514, "activity_lines": [ 6.200667, 6.387786, 7.044146, 7.657077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.21, "volume": 49290149, "typical_volume": 27364616.7, "trend": 8.286067, "fair_value": 9.364655, "relative_strength": -35.903021, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.119604, "energy": 60.737573, "activity_lines": [ 6.204, 6.305559, 6.903089, 7.516062 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.72, "volume": 44216225, "typical_volume": 27845290.5, "trend": 8.1564, "fair_value": 9.320703, "relative_strength": -40.306549, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.783442, "energy": 60.786272, "activity_lines": [ 6.056, 6.164259, 6.733794, 7.350509 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.23, "volume": 29102274, "typical_volume": 28103408.95, "trend": 8.041734, "fair_value": 9.279443, "relative_strength": -33.019697, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.110558, "energy": 54.2055, "activity_lines": [ 6.104667, 6.146644, 6.630641, 7.226225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.69, "volume": 43464344, "typical_volume": 29016496.3, "trend": 7.951067, "fair_value": 9.241132, "relative_strength": -30.672962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.900477, "energy": 40.204435, "activity_lines": [ 6.274667, 6.230364, 6.587013, 7.139017 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }