{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5876299-bac5-409c-8823-172e21ea7d18", "symbol": "LASITE", "name": "Sitios Latinoam\u00e9rica, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 59.095, "architecture_energy": 84.076, "architecture_maturity": 18.549, "architecture_confidence": 78.854, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.21, "rotation_up": 78.27, "upward_expansion": 66.82, "deceleration": 23.68, "rotation_down": 16.0, "downward_expansion": 27.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.986, 5.633818, 5.413619, 5.392844 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.25, "trend_reference": 5.402569, "distance_from_trend": 0.156857, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.782382, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30688, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.421803, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.168224, "excess_performance": 0.222891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.156857, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019371, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.30688, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.22694, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.224218, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137521, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.168224, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.388217, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 689727, "relative_activity": 0.686624, "balance": 4.388217, "dry_up": 0.641641, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0448, "annualized_volatility": 0.289588, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 1.009646 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.402569, "fair_value_reference": 4.782382, "structural_low": 4.71, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.388476, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.068047, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.46978, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.009311, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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44.026994, "activity_lines": [ 5.028, 5.047455, 5.165319, 5.259242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.16, "volume": 120607, "typical_volume": 959486.2, "trend": 5.367235, "fair_value": 4.816612, "relative_strength": 5.329521, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.000241, "energy": 28.402678, "activity_lines": [ 5.076667, 5.059273, 5.153524, 5.245765 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.3, "volume": 385339, "typical_volume": 927067.0, "trend": 5.360569, "fair_value": 4.804946, "relative_strength": 7.293184, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.776898, "energy": 16.579, "activity_lines": [ 5.158667, 5.100545, 5.158048, 5.241427 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.1, "volume": 1368895, "typical_volume": 992209.1, "trend": 5.373902, "fair_value": 4.798728, "relative_strength": 22.806248, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.580681, "energy": 42.931357, "activity_lines": [ 5.487333, 5.287818, 5.240857, 5.289132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.12, "volume": 134201, "typical_volume": 985533.4, "trend": 5.388569, "fair_value": 4.790651, "relative_strength": 21.072772, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 50.469974, "energy": 72.456455, "activity_lines": [ 5.752, 5.459091, 5.323095, 5.337268 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.25, "volume": 689727, "typical_volume": 1004519.25, "trend": 5.402569, "fair_value": 4.782382, "relative_strength": 22.421803, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 59.094928, "energy": 84.075646, "activity_lines": [ 5.986, 5.633818, 5.413619, 5.392844 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }