{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d587d5cd-da07-46fe-89cb-0bcee6d24471", "symbol": "BCV", "name": "Qian Hu Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.896, "architecture_energy": 91.826, "architecture_maturity": 43.835, "architecture_confidence": 89.435, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.17, "rotation_up": 12.25, "upward_expansion": 21.91, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 74.24, "downward_expansion": 92.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.123333, 0.125909, 0.130252, 0.134594 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.122, "trend_reference": 0.1391, "distance_from_trend": -0.122933, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.155797, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.216929, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.215459, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.140845, "excess_performance": -0.29568, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122933, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058863, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.216929, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149261, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.312155, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19507, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.140845, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.035168, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10800, "relative_activity": 0.258126, "balance": 0.035168, "dry_up": 2.123566, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021438, "annualized_volatility": 0.362348, "from_high_reference": -0.336957, "from_low_reference": 0.008264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1391, "fair_value_reference": 0.155797, "structural_low": 0.121, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.006994, "positive_rate": 0.542857, "directional_follow_through": 0.371429, "median_excess_return": 0.001092, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.216215, "worst_return": -0.133333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.021083, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.028538, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.202187, "worst_return": -0.076921, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.054578, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.149803, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.248277, "worst_return": -0.13726, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.013245, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.03125, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.035088, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.030303, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 0.13, 0.132182, 0.137124, 0.139834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.13, "volume": 19200, "typical_volume": 25005.0, "trend": 0.141967, "fair_value": 0.157532, "relative_strength": -26.410046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.634192, "energy": 83.371916, "activity_lines": [ 0.13, 0.131091, 0.135981, 0.13903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.13, "volume": 40000, "typical_volume": 26070.0, "trend": 0.141433, "fair_value": 0.157138, "relative_strength": -26.400788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.861498, "energy": 79.830064, "activity_lines": [ 0.13, 0.130364, 0.134914, 0.138258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.122, "volume": 283800, "typical_volume": 40260.0, "trend": 0.140633, "fair_value": 0.156693, "relative_strength": -31.325453, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.053684, "energy": 90.590648, "activity_lines": [ 0.127333, 0.128545, 0.133219, 0.137004 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.121, "volume": 20800, "typical_volume": 41300.0, "trend": 0.139733, "fair_value": 0.156242, "relative_strength": -31.670779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.08974, "energy": 96.552579, "activity_lines": [ 0.124867, 0.127055, 0.1316, 0.135738 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.122, "volume": 10800, "typical_volume": 41840.0, "trend": 0.1391, "fair_value": 0.155797, "relative_strength": -31.215459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.896123, "energy": 91.826421, "activity_lines": [ 0.123333, 0.125909, 0.130252, 0.134594 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }