{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d59bc236-b165-4a18-9c83-eea7dac03df4",
    "symbol": "AVO",
    "name": "Mission Produce Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.345,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -2.055,
    "architecture_energy": 11.714,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.653,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.884,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.04,
        "rotation_up": 37.58,
        "upward_expansion": 38.96,
        "deceleration": 40.33,
        "rotation_down": 17.09,
        "downward_expansion": 35.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.947333,
        12.700727,
        12.518571,
        12.742215
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 13.2,
    "trend_reference": 13.021667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013695,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.635641,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.134445,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.220864,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.059159,
    "excess_performance": -0.246613,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013695,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002901,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134445,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009656,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092209,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043055,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059159,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.244659,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5821141,
      "relative_activity": 0.97997,
      "balance": 2.244659,
      "dry_up": 0.727877,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09021,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.427267,
      "from_high_reference": -0.150032,
      "from_low_reference": 0.310824
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.021667,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.635641,
      "structural_low": 10.07,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.022264,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029957,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.153385,
        "worst_return": -0.187006,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.033252,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051683,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.180532,
        "worst_return": -0.192145,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.04958,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.254249,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.029437,
        "worst_return": -0.153716,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.021816,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.302175,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.132044,
        "worst_return": -0.175676,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042052,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025748,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.183946,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089427,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016878,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.04864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
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        "return": 0.1198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.067712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00251,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.005386,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.160139,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.028698,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 4220796.45,
        "trend": 12.935,
        "fair_value": 11.620192,
        "relative_strength": -3.935652,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 11.95,
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        "typical_volume": 4253267.35,
        "trend": 12.987,
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        "relative_strength": -20.451114,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 17.132064,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.03,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 4377465.85,
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        "relative_strength": -21.359392,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 31.832025,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 6180648,
        "typical_volume": 4582121.7,
        "trend": 12.984,
        "fair_value": 11.616218,
        "relative_strength": -28.145864,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 11.595833,
        "relative_strength": -30.565107,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 73.088113,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.2,
        "volume": 14354627,
        "typical_volume": 4953147.0,
        "trend": 12.873333,
        "fair_value": 11.590449,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 76.746733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 12.871667,
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        "relative_strength": -24.546788,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 72.171138,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 12.26,
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        "typical_volume": 5418125.45,
        "trend": 12.879667,
        "fair_value": 11.587436,
        "relative_strength": -15.353644,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.059994,
        "energy": 50.108075,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.496,
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          12.737161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 12.49,
        "volume": 5109632,
        "typical_volume": 5554719.2,
        "trend": 12.893333,
        "fair_value": 11.591603,
        "relative_strength": -14.157518,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.972004,
        "energy": 25.402879,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.33,
        "volume": 8794946,
        "typical_volume": 5871220.5,
        "trend": 12.916333,
        "fair_value": 11.603205,
        "relative_strength": -9.70728,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.70905,
        "energy": 19.176655,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.504667,
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          12.450571,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.59,
        "volume": 4893704,
        "typical_volume": 6006685.6,
        "trend": 12.929333,
        "fair_value": 11.612179,
        "relative_strength": -3.765125,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.007511,
        "energy": 24.646444,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.983333,
          12.302545,
          12.52319,
          12.783656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.42,
        "volume": 3780715,
        "typical_volume": 6066019.0,
        "trend": 12.954333,
        "fair_value": 11.617051,
        "relative_strength": -10.351623,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.553224,
        "energy": 23.353043,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.912667,
          12.386364,
          12.487238,
          12.750796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.61,
        "volume": 2799146,
        "typical_volume": 5952244.85,
        "trend": 12.988667,
        "fair_value": 11.624872,
        "relative_strength": -9.145294,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -8.784806,
        "energy": 17.353273,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.843333,
          12.496182,
          12.475905,
          12.728581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.2,
        "volume": 5821141,
        "typical_volume": 5940121.05,
        "trend": 13.021667,
        "fair_value": 11.635641,
        "relative_strength": -9.220864,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.054608,
        "energy": 11.714381,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.947333,
          12.700727,
          12.518571,
          12.742215
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}