{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d59bf423-67f5-4946-9ce7-de0852eb0490", "symbol": "CRM", "name": "Salesforce.com Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -4.695, "architecture_energy": 13.476, "architecture_maturity": 27.408, "architecture_confidence": 54.906, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.74, "rotation_up": 39.16, "upward_expansion": 26.2, "deceleration": 40.62, "rotation_down": 16.72, "downward_expansion": 48.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 179.708, 172.808918, 173.609682, 176.763539 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 192.74, "trend_reference": 183.531972, "distance_from_trend": 0.050171, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 248.655087, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.22487, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.95359, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.012731, "excess_performance": -0.112894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050171, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1249, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.22487, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05529, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189536, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123372, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012731, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.103178, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56530832, "relative_activity": 0.825383, "balance": 1.103178, "dry_up": 0.935554, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095928, "annualized_volatility": 0.435633, "from_high_reference": -0.2799, "from_low_reference": 0.31725 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 183.531972, "fair_value_reference": 248.655087, "structural_low": 146.32, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.018879, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.011819, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.182533, "worst_return": -0.164634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.091733, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.059492, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.297662, "worst_return": -0.263467, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.035386, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.001658, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.487205, "worst_return": -0.362928, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.741468, "energy": 58.135435, "activity_lines": [ 161.706667, 167.407613, 173.113513, 179.872615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 170.77, "volume": 63105649, "typical_volume": 68887868.15, "trend": 191.365676, "fair_value": 249.277692, "relative_strength": -27.512064, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.55811, "energy": 36.310604, "activity_lines": [ 164.932, 167.270793, 172.388041, 178.35518 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 163.66, "volume": 62126846, "typical_volume": 68982025.0, "trend": 187.999557, "fair_value": 248.905922, "relative_strength": -29.25367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.507335, "energy": 31.338737, "activity_lines": [ 165.462, 166.033439, 171.094799, 176.567717 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 184.02, "volume": 74542490, "typical_volume": 68911817.1, "trend": 185.725196, "fair_value": 248.734008, "relative_strength": -20.544513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.979868, "energy": 11.626765, "activity_lines": [ 171.986667, 168.668676, 171.918505, 176.310971 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 192.74, "volume": 56530832, "typical_volume": 68490386.9, "trend": 183.531972, "fair_value": 248.655087, "relative_strength": -18.95359, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.695469, "energy": 13.475613, "activity_lines": [ 179.708, 172.808918, 173.609682, 176.763539 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }