{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5a08dc0-739a-4123-8130-97239fe61f34", "symbol": "EXOZ", "name": "eXoZymes, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.477, "architecture_energy": 82.19, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.38, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.91, "rotation_up": 8.69, "upward_expansion": 19.76, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 78.78, "downward_expansion": 95.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.151, 6.110727, 7.446524, 7.936109 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.105, "trend_reference": 8.623254, "distance_from_trend": -0.407996, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.573433, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.558904, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -57.644635, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.514272, "excess_performance": -0.701726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.407996, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204221, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.558904, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.344273, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.576446, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.276407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.514272, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.99188, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31353, "relative_activity": 0.82859, "balance": 0.99188, "dry_up": 1.05563, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.295348, "annualized_volatility": 0.890479, "from_high_reference": -0.722554, "from_low_reference": 0.173563 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.623254, "fair_value_reference": 11.573433, "structural_low": 4.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.41345, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.381901, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.41345, "worst_return": -0.41345, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.210685, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.364259, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 11.12, "volume": 145765, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 14.9, "volume": 256136, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, 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"2026-07-10", "close": 6.97, "volume": 63041, "typical_volume": 33026.9, "trend": 9.42142, "fair_value": 11.870085, "relative_strength": -44.929775, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.737723, "energy": 64.322305, "activity_lines": [ 7.708, 8.23, 8.766648, 8.962519 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.02, "volume": 46174, "typical_volume": 34974.1, "trend": 9.212087, "fair_value": 11.803607, "relative_strength": -49.936197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.444409, "energy": 70.610942, "activity_lines": [ 7.154, 7.744636, 8.502752, 8.743072 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.71, "volume": 44375, "typical_volume": 35861.8, "trend": 8.986087, "fair_value": 11.723904, "relative_strength": -59.71108, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.256817, "energy": 81.687541, "activity_lines": [ 6.235333, 7.086545, 8.127571, 8.452615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.65, "volume": 37874, "typical_volume": 37237.6, "trend": 8.774754, "fair_value": 11.645305, "relative_strength": -59.923035, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.959231, "energy": 86.425631, "activity_lines": [ 5.504667, 6.509364, 7.759071, 8.172867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.105, "volume": 31353, "typical_volume": 37839.0, "trend": 8.623254, "fair_value": 11.573433, "relative_strength": -57.644635, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.477325, "energy": 82.190202, "activity_lines": [ 5.151, 6.110727, 7.446524, 7.936109 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }