{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5bcbd33-2709-4603-b071-9d68076bee7e", "symbol": "ALADO", "name": "Adomos S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.284, "architecture_energy": 68.447, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.218, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.31, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.87, "rotation_down": 56.73, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.411067, 0.419205, 0.603312, 1.058683 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.51, "trend_reference": 1.892333, "distance_from_trend": -0.730491, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 492405.953654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.999999, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -97.11775, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.89375, "excess_performance": -0.947061, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.730491, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.617257, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.999999, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1e-06, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.971178, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015498, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.89375, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.650455, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13311, "relative_activity": 1.686249, "balance": 0.650455, "dry_up": 1.798362, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183243, "annualized_volatility": 0.843392, "from_high_reference": -0.9966, "from_low_reference": 0.688742 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.892333, "fair_value_reference": 492405.953654, "structural_low": 0.302, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 60, "median_return": -0.307211, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.283117, "regime_survival": 0.966667, "best_return": 6199.0, "worst_return": -0.765517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.666667, "positive_rate": 0.105263, "directional_follow_through": 0.789474, "median_excess_return": -0.66466, "regime_survival": 0.894737, "best_return": 250.0, "worst_return": -0.961089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.879514, "positive_rate": 0.1, "directional_follow_through": 0.9, "median_excess_return": -0.962196, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 279.0, "worst_return": -0.9896, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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6102.45, "trend": 2.506767, "fair_value": 492534.148737, "relative_strength": -98.43005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.647114, "energy": 91.481727, "activity_lines": [ 0.43842, 0.525829, 0.902993, 1.550879 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.35, "volume": 8636, "typical_volume": 5990.05, "trend": 2.3851, "fair_value": 492502.099699, "relative_strength": -98.483949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.79602, "energy": 92.430316, "activity_lines": [ 0.401813, 0.477487, 0.803598, 1.411732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.312, "volume": 7228, "typical_volume": 6225.5, "trend": 2.228833, "fair_value": 492470.050417, "relative_strength": -98.517653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.332923, "energy": 88.718078, "activity_lines": [ 0.363207, 0.4326, 0.715105, 1.277984 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.395, "volume": 27609, "typical_volume": 7361.75, "trend": 2.075333, "fair_value": 492438.001667, "relative_strength": -97.953056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.648969, "energy": 84.187554, "activity_lines": [ 0.366133, 0.411858, 0.64815, 1.159672 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.51, "volume": 13311, "typical_volume": 7893.85, "trend": 1.892333, "fair_value": 492405.953654, "relative_strength": -97.11775, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.284135, "energy": 68.447361, "activity_lines": [ 0.411067, 0.419205, 0.603312, 1.058683 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }