{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d5c91975-5220-49c2-8d7e-a38bc404f120",
    "symbol": "MTRN",
    "name": "Materion Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.786,
    "architecture_energy": 34.075,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.215,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.845,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.2,
        "rotation_up": 33.19,
        "upward_expansion": 61.38,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 29.62,
        "downward_expansion": 18.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        239.461073,
        219.639816
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 290.05,
    "trend_reference": 194.716744,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.4896,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 124.441142,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.330821,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 60.342757,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.919195,
    "excess_performance": 0.793571,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.4896,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284814,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.330821,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.569844,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.603428,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158566,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.919195,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.82597,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2717202,
      "relative_activity": 1.70835,
      "balance": 1.82597,
      "dry_up": 1.258813,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.118515,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.646577,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047705,
      "from_low_reference": 1.783276
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 194.716744,
      "fair_value_reference": 124.441142,
      "structural_low": 129.455533,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.060283,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.044586,
        "regime_survival": 0.357143,
        "best_return": 0.377783,
        "worst_return": -0.077487,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.049456,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.046608,
        "regime_survival": 0.111111,
        "best_return": 1.083594,
        "worst_return": -0.10946,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.169858,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.166974,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.832294,
        "worst_return": -0.106313,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.016123,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.078736,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.337906,
        "worst_return": -0.158271,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.145169,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.127835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.135922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.151433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.006347,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1458272.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 241.02,
        "volume": 1035296,
        "typical_volume": 1438063.9,
        "trend": 186.88972,
        "fair_value": 122.557469,
        "relative_strength": 43.18197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.320382,
        "energy": 43.654978,
        "activity_lines": [
          251.762667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 210.84,
        "volume": 2977415,
        "typical_volume": 1534222.1,
        "trend": 189.64015,
        "fair_value": 123.255194,
        "relative_strength": 22.733939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.302072,
        "energy": 24.076086,
        "activity_lines": [
          235.626,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 290.05,
        "volume": 2717202,
        "typical_volume": 1590542.1,
        "trend": 194.716744,
        "fair_value": 124.441142,
        "relative_strength": 60.342757,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.785997,
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        "activity_lines": [
          250.971333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}