{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d5cbe6eb-6656-4842-ac9c-482148d53ed0",
    "symbol": "A1ZN34",
    "name": "AstraZeneca PLC",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -77.397,
    "architecture_energy": 85.42,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.662,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.558,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.51,
        "rotation_up": 11.45,
        "upward_expansion": 22.02,
        "deceleration": 34.2,
        "rotation_down": 80.9,
        "downward_expansion": 95.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        140.801725,
        146.49417,
        151.067125,
        155.072698
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 136.559998,
    "trend_reference": 159.863137,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.145769,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 135.088866,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.01089,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.037358,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.163704,
    "excess_performance": -0.106655,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.145769,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024976,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01089,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124787,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160374,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002684,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.163704,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.373046,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4600,
      "relative_activity": 3.986999,
      "balance": 0.373046,
      "dry_up": 1.336728,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058155,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.331224,
      "from_high_reference": -0.275093,
      "from_low_reference": 0.061547
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 159.863137,
      "fair_value_reference": 135.088866,
      "structural_low": 129.211614,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.017976,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01925,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.145503,
        "worst_return": -0.139137,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.09023,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.097463,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.252109,
        "worst_return": -0.071547,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.128036,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007702,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.017059,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.199342,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01945,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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        "volume": 685,
        "typical_volume": 2469.8,
        "trend": 163.234952,
        "fair_value": 131.088617,
        "relative_strength": -14.679475,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.355813,
        "energy": 3.412634,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 2331.0,
        "trend": 163.381272,
        "fair_value": 131.328571,
        "relative_strength": -14.448504,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.77969,
        "energy": 35.339711,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 149.389999,
        "volume": 1252,
        "typical_volume": 2061.35,
        "trend": 163.285291,
        "fair_value": 131.5427,
        "relative_strength": -15.768967,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -47.059706,
        "energy": 62.824391,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1929.35,
        "trend": 163.356808,
        "fair_value": 131.77472,
        "relative_strength": -10.306557,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "energy": 66.759873,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 1973,
        "typical_volume": 1883.2,
        "trend": 163.609861,
        "fair_value": 132.049781,
        "relative_strength": -7.77685,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.40058,
        "energy": 65.958441,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 139,
        "typical_volume": 1867.35,
        "trend": 163.958193,
        "fair_value": 132.329381,
        "relative_strength": -5.806069,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 159.889999,
        "volume": 93,
        "typical_volume": 1825.75,
        "trend": 164.324344,
        "fair_value": 132.629659,
        "relative_strength": -1.336344,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -55.724897,
        "energy": 38.112485,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 22,
        "typical_volume": 1692.75,
        "trend": 164.210373,
        "fair_value": 132.868612,
        "relative_strength": -7.375081,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -7.032305,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 79,
        "typical_volume": 1329.75,
        "trend": 163.768791,
        "fair_value": 133.490525,
        "relative_strength": -1.673691,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.982086,
        "energy": 24.792923,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 165.94046,
        "volume": 22,
        "typical_volume": 1096.55,
        "trend": 163.923053,
        "fair_value": 133.916305,
        "relative_strength": -0.599662,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -18.107977,
        "energy": 12.694677,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 145.544373,
        "volume": 1932,
        "typical_volume": 1182.95,
        "trend": 163.450214,
        "fair_value": 134.196365,
        "relative_strength": -14.364691,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.334798,
        "energy": 35.195185,
        "activity_lines": [
          155.466246,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 143.140167,
        "volume": 723,
        "typical_volume": 1196.5,
        "trend": 162.63933,
        "fair_value": 134.446761,
        "relative_strength": -13.560227,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.234606,
        "energy": 42.55467,
        "activity_lines": [
          151.44198,
          153.524448,
          156.032306,
          159.188097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 141.997665,
        "volume": 462,
        "typical_volume": 1076.95,
        "trend": 161.655803,
        "fair_value": 134.678481,
        "relative_strength": -14.104406,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.925712,
        "energy": 74.842235,
        "activity_lines": [
          147.606202,
          151.244296,
          154.390584,
          157.856377
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 142.852044,
        "volume": 384,
        "typical_volume": 950.4,
        "trend": 160.903254,
        "fair_value": 134.912778,
        "relative_strength": -15.192086,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.663701,
        "energy": 80.591121,
        "activity_lines": [
          144.580039,
          149.319711,
          152.967576,
          156.643231
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 136.559998,
        "volume": 4600,
        "typical_volume": 1153.75,
        "trend": 159.863137,
        "fair_value": 135.088866,
        "relative_strength": -16.037358,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.397438,
        "energy": 85.41987,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.801725,
          146.49417,
          151.067125,
          155.072698
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}