{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5d1df15-d12e-4fe8-a695-b9528ba6d85d", "symbol": "8938", "name": "Advanced International Multitech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.736, "architecture_energy": 51.922, "architecture_maturity": 59.258, "architecture_confidence": 88.966, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.74, "rotation_up": 26.94, "upward_expansion": 7.5, "deceleration": 57.99, "rotation_down": 49.69, "downward_expansion": 78.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.586667, 54.061818, 54.565238, 56.29335 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 52.299999, "trend_reference": 58.967784, "distance_from_trend": -0.113075, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 64.092386, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.18399, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.94879, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.196065, "excess_performance": -0.637437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113075, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053728, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.18399, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022296, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.379488, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020834, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.196065, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.831953, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 535001, "relative_activity": 0.475997, "balance": 0.831953, "dry_up": 0.597424, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037653, "annualized_volatility": 0.167868, "from_high_reference": -0.263059, "from_low_reference": 0.013566 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.967784, "fair_value_reference": 64.092386, "structural_low": 51.599998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.001096, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025001, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.154098, "worst_return": -0.083333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.022638, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.036457, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.121622, "worst_return": -0.148201, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.044604, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.040666, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.216719, "worst_return": -0.08532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.958264, "energy": 27.515309, "activity_lines": [ 55.459999, 54.683636, 55.6934, 57.618071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.0, "volume": 686482, "typical_volume": 1266417.25, "trend": 59.932669, "fair_value": 64.295418, "relative_strength": -33.780472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.689918, "energy": 31.860444, "activity_lines": [ 55.099999, 54.64, 55.358552, 57.211948 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.900002, "volume": 598213, "typical_volume": 1208882.9, "trend": 59.5056, "fair_value": 64.193592, "relative_strength": -35.84402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.438542, "energy": 43.34142, "activity_lines": [ 54.353334, 54.403636, 54.966667, 56.758227 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 52.299999, "volume": 535001, "typical_volume": 1123957.95, "trend": 58.967784, "fair_value": 64.092386, "relative_strength": -37.94879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.736129, "energy": 51.922001, "activity_lines": [ 53.586667, 54.061818, 54.565238, 56.29335 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }