{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d5ea547d-1a2a-4ebb-9239-c0f728820a79",
    "symbol": "3570",
    "name": "Otsuka Information Technology Corp.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 60.316,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 14.847,
    "architecture_energy": 6.232,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.542,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.464,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 64.42,
        "rotation_up": 24.58,
        "upward_expansion": 48.09,
        "deceleration": 83.17,
        "rotation_down": 24.36,
        "downward_expansion": 21.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        164.2,
        164.512542,
        164.626305,
        163.776424
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 163.5,
    "trend_reference": 163.311225,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.001156,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 154.349612,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059284,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -31.338486,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.017863,
    "excess_performance": -0.423509,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001156,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007502,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059284,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021096,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.313385,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071551,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017863,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.958108,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 187109,
      "relative_activity": 0.728705,
      "balance": 0.958108,
      "dry_up": 0.532413,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048057,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.243865,
      "from_high_reference": -0.20807,
      "from_low_reference": 0.091714
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 163.311225,
      "fair_value_reference": 154.349612,
      "structural_low": 149.764493,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.011538,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015862,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.213483,
        "worst_return": -0.092949,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.146467,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.083584,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.150281,
        "worst_return": 0.081921,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.226124,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01801,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.249057,
        "worst_return": -0.023999,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.203267,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.149661,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.293631,
        "worst_return": 0.112904,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034247,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041543,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.07438,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.103746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.160221,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.015675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010499,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.020997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.070621,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062663,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015528,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 901250.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 173443.45,
        "trend": 164.50472,
        "fair_value": 149.661132,
        "relative_strength": -40.766883,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 205293.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 221156.8,
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        "energy": 17.790415,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 180.94574,
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        "typical_volume": 252914.4,
        "trend": 162.09526,
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        "relative_strength": -33.817437,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 584502,
        "typical_volume": 270265.95,
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        "relative_strength": -35.691732,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 272314.0,
        "trend": 161.953527,
        "fair_value": 151.611827,
        "relative_strength": -38.118593,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 56.065996,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 269079,
        "typical_volume": 285501.65,
        "trend": 162.323319,
        "fair_value": 152.290921,
        "relative_strength": -37.38281,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.715792,
        "energy": 28.610101,
        "activity_lines": [
          167.887672,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 164.0,
        "volume": 137007,
        "typical_volume": 268600.9,
        "trend": 162.309644,
        "fair_value": 152.62075,
        "relative_strength": -35.54734,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 34.301637,
        "energy": 16.404024,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 161.0,
        "volume": 270037,
        "typical_volume": 266000.7,
        "trend": 162.384947,
        "fair_value": 152.942404,
        "relative_strength": -31.705659,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.336142,
        "energy": 15.810316,
        "activity_lines": [
          163.934016,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 165.5,
        "volume": 108592,
        "typical_volume": 264072.7,
        "trend": 162.594502,
        "fair_value": 153.323311,
        "relative_strength": -30.372901,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.532096,
        "energy": 16.057744,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.095853,
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          164.046998,
          163.485219
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 164.5,
        "volume": 170107,
        "typical_volume": 258023.05,
        "trend": 162.849464,
        "fair_value": 153.675694,
        "relative_strength": -28.948691,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.584241,
        "energy": 15.153315,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.166667,
          165.515967,
          164.272193,
          163.608154
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 165.0,
        "volume": 81021,
        "typical_volume": 256271.4,
        "trend": 163.042352,
        "fair_value": 154.00364,
        "relative_strength": -29.399115,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.986075,
        "energy": 12.722172,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.366667,
          165.160274,
          164.531081,
          163.746898
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 163.5,
        "volume": 187109,
        "typical_volume": 256769.05,
        "trend": 163.311225,
        "fair_value": 154.349612,
        "relative_strength": -31.338486,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.846984,
        "energy": 6.231805,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.2,
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          164.626305,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}