{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5eac139-9e47-4902-a9be-0e8b2a14acfb", "symbol": "7709", "name": "Honor Seiki Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 49.63, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.474, "architecture_energy": 28.489, "architecture_maturity": 28.291, "architecture_confidence": 52.184, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.59, "rotation_up": 15.75, "upward_expansion": 22.53, "deceleration": 57.49, "rotation_down": 58.31, "downward_expansion": 40.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.213334, 74.570015, 81.513597, 78.739532 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 71.400002, "trend_reference": 73.027724, "distance_from_trend": -0.022289, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.283494, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340002, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.298456, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.024353, "excess_performance": -0.417019, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022289, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.25175, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.340002, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17295, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.062985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.190331, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.024353, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.562686, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 228000, "relative_activity": 0.090526, "balance": 3.562686, "dry_up": 0.159681, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.231137, "annualized_volatility": 0.79777, "from_high_reference": -0.506353, "from_low_reference": 0.997771 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.027724, "fair_value_reference": 53.283494, "structural_low": 46.056994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.194883, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.109493, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.30466, "worst_return": 0.085106, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.896873, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.511666, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.896873, "worst_return": 0.896873, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"energy": 23.651514, "activity_lines": [ 73.913333, 84.650731, 84.470293, 78.883428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 67.599998, "volume": 380275, "typical_volume": 2706903.0, "trend": 70.803452, "fair_value": 53.009759, "relative_strength": -5.853194, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.385125, "energy": 29.980183, "activity_lines": [ 70.626666, 80.342056, 83.314581, 78.742404 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 71.300003, "volume": 383070, "typical_volume": 2684437.2, "trend": 71.941072, "fair_value": 53.14728, "relative_strength": -3.125703, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.695548, "energy": 28.731587, "activity_lines": [ 69.84, 77.103351, 82.44792, 78.774439 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 71.400002, "volume": 228000, "typical_volume": 2518602.85, "trend": 73.027724, "fair_value": 53.283494, "relative_strength": -6.298456, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.473557, "energy": 28.488578, "activity_lines": [ 70.213334, 74.570015, 81.513597, 78.739532 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }