{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5eaf415-cfa4-412a-86c2-0b64497480fe", "symbol": "002475", "name": "Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 81.692, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.101, "architecture_energy": 38.811, "architecture_maturity": 40.19, "architecture_confidence": 70.897, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.68, "rotation_up": 14.55, "upward_expansion": 19.92, "deceleration": 55.99, "rotation_down": 67.3, "downward_expansion": 49.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.296864, 60.874901, 63.8707, 62.109291 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 56.990002, "trend_reference": 59.599136, "distance_from_trend": -0.043778, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.110426, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.353347, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.574279, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.105992, "excess_performance": 0.098592, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.043778, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028652, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.353347, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.471331, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035743, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226159, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105992, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.704592, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 874211375, "relative_activity": 1.201564, "balance": 0.704592, "dry_up": 0.964859, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11618, "annualized_volatility": 0.424228, "from_high_reference": -0.30313, "from_low_reference": 0.596892 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.599136, "fair_value_reference": 42.110426, "structural_low": 44.57, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.034046, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.034193, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.214481, "worst_return": -0.192453, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.049663, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.107161, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.194688, "worst_return": -0.263581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.09666, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.069437, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.391104, "worst_return": -0.158492, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": 3.425548, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.352608, "energy": 13.77467, "activity_lines": [ 62.398672, 65.060068, 65.087338, 62.34206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.59, "volume": 596067119, "typical_volume": 707766304.55, "trend": 59.608473, "fair_value": 41.794124, "relative_strength": 7.242909, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.928311, "energy": 19.239173, "activity_lines": [ 61.13169, 63.818709, 64.949935, 62.41396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.48, "volume": 697091517, "typical_volume": 711847997.7, "trend": 59.583893, "fair_value": 41.947033, "relative_strength": 2.813639, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.070053, "energy": 30.489764, "activity_lines": [ 59.450707, 62.255714, 64.453055, 62.276639 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.990002, "volume": 874211375, "typical_volume": 727561190.4, "trend": 59.599136, "fair_value": 42.110426, "relative_strength": -3.574279, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.100599, "energy": 38.811279, "activity_lines": [ 58.296864, 60.874901, 63.8707, 62.109291 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }