{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d5ee8f56-a3bb-4bda-bc94-ab95acc84b37", "symbol": "IMO", "name": "Imperial Oil Limited", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.956, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.035, "architecture_energy": 49.157, "architecture_maturity": 5.601, "architecture_confidence": 75.645, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.25, "rotation_up": 67.07, "upward_expansion": 80.88, "deceleration": 50.45, "rotation_down": 9.53, "downward_expansion": 7.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 177.098001, 172.722727, 171.925687, 170.941552 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 174.210007, "trend_reference": 166.705576, "distance_from_trend": 0.045016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 109.225151, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.594962, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.733955, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.139663, "excess_performance": 0.019242, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045016, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093852, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.594962, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131459, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.04734, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120476, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139663, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.433611, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3640400, "relative_activity": 1.265614, "balance": 1.433611, "dry_up": 1.283275, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057378, "annualized_volatility": 0.307279, "from_high_reference": -0.086999, "from_low_reference": 0.553655 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 166.705576, "fair_value_reference": 109.225151, 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181.75, "volume": 4258000, "typical_volume": 2963655.0, "trend": 165.060941, "fair_value": 108.554573, "relative_strength": 13.145191, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.613611, "energy": 46.878884, "activity_lines": [ 176.960665, 171.779453, 171.775273, 170.35129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 174.210007, "volume": 3640400, "typical_volume": 2876390.0, "trend": 166.705576, "fair_value": 109.225151, "relative_strength": 4.733955, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.035473, "energy": 49.156793, "activity_lines": [ 177.098001, 172.722727, 171.925687, 170.941552 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }