{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d604ea1b-9b1c-40ab-94f3-5fc77a61d195", "symbol": "WBIG", "name": "ABSOLUTE SHS TR WBI BULLBEAR YIELD 3000 ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.796, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.791, "architecture_energy": 70.525, "architecture_maturity": 37.823, "architecture_confidence": 69.114, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.06, "rotation_up": 70.15, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 55.61, "rotation_down": 20.26, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.273848, 26.076053, 25.551619, 25.142288 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 26.6719, "trend_reference": 24.683494, "distance_from_trend": 0.080556, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.081077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.155574, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.954159, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.10608, "excess_performance": -0.019545, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080556, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035012, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.155574, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094576, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.009542, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057393, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.10608, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.429118, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22235, "relative_activity": 0.592527, "balance": 0.429118, "dry_up": 3.626028, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018921, "annualized_volatility": 0.093801, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.226253 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.683494, "fair_value_reference": 23.081077, "structural_low": 23.274052, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.010495, "positive_rate": 0.652174, "directional_follow_through": 0.652174, "median_excess_return": 0.006215, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.047659, "worst_return": -0.043009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.009204, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.002359, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.097744, "worst_return": -0.075117, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004875, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.025527, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.032139, "worst_return": -0.136741, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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25.979221, "volume": 426926, "typical_volume": 34339.1, "trend": 24.496391, "fair_value": 23.024241, "relative_strength": 0.941028, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.735682, "energy": 67.262161, "activity_lines": [ 25.987112, 25.809431, 25.248071, 24.901288 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.1457, "volume": 89289, "typical_volume": 37872.55, "trend": 24.585711, "fair_value": 23.050412, "relative_strength": 0.488857, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.508132, "energy": 64.461453, "activity_lines": [ 26.058393, 25.908266, 25.380316, 25.007695 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.6719, "volume": 22235, "typical_volume": 37525.7, "trend": 24.683494, "fair_value": 23.081077, "relative_strength": -0.954159, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.790784, "energy": 70.524671, "activity_lines": [ 26.273848, 26.076053, 25.551619, 25.142288 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }