{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d6170b34-9ac1-41ed-a6ba-a8938dbe4d45", "symbol": "300660", "name": "Jiangsu Leili Motor Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.703, "architecture_energy": 55.287, "architecture_maturity": 72.691, "architecture_confidence": 88.768, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.19, "rotation_up": 20.6, "upward_expansion": 8.68, "deceleration": 56.34, "rotation_down": 57.59, "downward_expansion": 79.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.883999, 27.830181, 29.921144, 32.940599 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.139999, "trend_reference": 38.190995, "distance_from_trend": -0.263177, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.616938, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.109971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.951205, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.46308, "excess_performance": -0.470479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.263177, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157483, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.109971, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240248, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.389512, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00908, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.46308, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.275105, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47308845, "relative_activity": 1.13578, "balance": 1.275105, "dry_up": 0.982005, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.13528, "annualized_volatility": 0.74807, "from_high_reference": -0.572557, "from_low_reference": 0.16233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.190995, "fair_value_reference": 31.616938, "structural_low": 24.209999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.002562, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.006181, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.6743, "worst_return": -0.214915, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.149425, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.021209, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.09288, "worst_return": -0.288448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.726138, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.673367, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.933667, "worst_return": 0.00113, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.045873, "energy": 64.269763, "activity_lines": [ 28.509333, 29.811375, 31.857999, 35.522921 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.559999, "volume": 38612207, "typical_volume": 39672240.15, "trend": 39.950995, "fair_value": 31.558921, "relative_strength": -46.030067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.409279, "energy": 63.821269, "activity_lines": [ 27.055999, 28.594869, 30.91819, 34.480685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.02, "volume": 37984676, "typical_volume": 40361201.9, "trend": 39.080328, "fair_value": 31.577958, "relative_strength": -38.982848, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.841778, "energy": 58.434038, "activity_lines": [ 26.817999, 28.022298, 30.321096, 33.646427 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.139999, "volume": 47308845, "typical_volume": 41653179.25, "trend": 38.190995, "fair_value": 31.616938, "relative_strength": -38.951205, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.70312, "energy": 55.286542, "activity_lines": [ 26.883999, 27.830181, 29.921144, 32.940599 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }