{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d623e645-8163-48cd-baa4-50dc68d6b11a",
    "symbol": "ALTHO",
    "name": "Metavisio",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.832,
    "architecture_energy": 49.261,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.577,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.58,
        "rotation_up": 28.92,
        "upward_expansion": 7.28,
        "deceleration": 60.78,
        "rotation_down": 49.01,
        "downward_expansion": 80.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.001107,
        0.001125,
        0.001172,
        0.001353
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0011,
    "trend_reference": 0.001773,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.379699,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.376651,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.99708,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -73.557415,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.633333,
    "excess_performance": -0.686645,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.379699,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.365155,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.99708,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000683,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.735574,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138041,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.633333,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.392959,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11855385,
      "relative_activity": 0.369635,
      "balance": 0.392959,
      "dry_up": 0.924449,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.167832,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.87122,
      "from_high_reference": -0.960573,
      "from_low_reference": 0.1
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.001773,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.376651,
      "structural_low": 0.001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": -0.137787,
        "positive_rate": 0.138889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.117671,
        "regime_survival": 0.972222,
        "best_return": 0.494737,
        "worst_return": -0.652778,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.5,
        "positive_rate": 0.090909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.909091,
        "median_excess_return": -0.512239,
        "regime_survival": 0.909091,
        "best_return": 0.776504,
        "worst_return": -0.721519,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.664563,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.67581,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.074499,
        "worst_return": -0.8875,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.954167,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.992177,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": -0.528302,
        "worst_return": -0.968,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-16",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.402516,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.165217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.304839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.09418,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": -0.998786,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 52931185.2,
        "trend": 0.002053,
        "fair_value": 0.396829,
        "relative_strength": -76.04559,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.894113,
        "energy": 51.993963,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001153,
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          0.001248,
          0.001521
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.0011,
        "volume": 28560203,
        "typical_volume": 51545891.5,
        "trend": 0.00197,
        "fair_value": 0.389849,
        "relative_strength": -74.93817,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.953195,
        "energy": 50.541896,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001133,
          0.001138,
          0.001218,
          0.00146
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0011,
        "volume": 15740839,
        "typical_volume": 48159545.75,
        "trend": 0.001883,
        "fair_value": 0.38258,
        "relative_strength": -74.185133,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.181144,
        "energy": 49.022899,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.00112,
          0.001131,
          0.001193,
          0.001404
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0011,
        "volume": 11855385,
        "typical_volume": 32073254.55,
        "trend": 0.001773,
        "fair_value": 0.376651,
        "relative_strength": -73.557415,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.832156,
        "energy": 49.260733,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001107,
          0.001125,
          0.001172,
          0.001353
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}