{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d62d36ce-efbb-4a66-882e-983b31fa3fbc", "symbol": "AXP", "name": "American Express Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.263, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.082, "architecture_energy": 26.546, "architecture_maturity": 28.753, "architecture_confidence": 51.145, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.42, "rotation_up": 41.9, "upward_expansion": 66.82, "deceleration": 60.83, "rotation_down": 22.92, "downward_expansion": 14.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 339.289333, 340.42613, 332.138711, 327.367375 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 340.91, "trend_reference": 327.082592, "distance_from_trend": 0.042275, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 271.258595, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.256771, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.671593, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.047783, "excess_performance": -0.173407, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042275, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030855, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.256771, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03084, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096716, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048875, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047783, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.485986, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12180910, "relative_activity": 0.812484, "balance": 1.485986, "dry_up": 0.997684, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052421, "annualized_volatility": 0.289795, "from_high_reference": -0.115484, "from_low_reference": 0.175353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 327.082592, "fair_value_reference": 271.258595, 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"energy": 70.092729, "activity_lines": [ 350.061847, 339.391524, 328.244334, 326.424431 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 326.17, "volume": 17910196, "typical_volume": 15515478.45, "trend": 329.376564, "fair_value": 268.970387, "relative_strength": -9.746879, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.195014, "energy": 47.731346, "activity_lines": [ 343.156919, 338.549587, 328.896547, 326.103912 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 336.25, "volume": 15968152, "typical_volume": 15416484.95, "trend": 328.19976, "fair_value": 270.09912, "relative_strength": -7.877269, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.792668, "energy": 26.978703, "activity_lines": [ 340.34, 339.294307, 330.384382, 326.54736 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 340.91, "volume": 12180910, "typical_volume": 14992180.1, "trend": 327.082592, "fair_value": 271.258595, "relative_strength": -9.671593, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.082256, "energy": 26.545767, "activity_lines": [ 339.289333, 340.42613, 332.138711, 327.367375 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }